The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ríver PI 35%
Draw 29.5%
Moto Club de São Luís 35.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.6%
27.7%
27.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.6%
27.1%
27.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ríver PI has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ríver PI's form might have worsened.
Moto Club de São Luís has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Moto Club de São Luís's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ríver PI than the current prediction. (+10.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ríver PI, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moto Club de São Luís than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Moto Club de São Luís, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
33.3%
50%
Ríver PI - Moto Club de São Luís Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Ríver PI will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Moto Club will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Geovane Itinga ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
56', 0 - 2, Lima R. (Pen),
74', 0 - 3, Mikeias ⚽,
84', 1 - 3, Wesley ⚽,
Preview
This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 5).
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Ríver PI will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Ríver PI won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Ríver PI won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
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