Match Info

Serie D - Round 9

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday


	Moto Club de São Luís		Maracanã

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.7	2.7
	2.68	2.68	2.72
	2.74	2.73	2.79
	2.89	2.5	2.94	Watch
	2.63	2.63	2.63
	2.68	2.68	2.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.49)	2.65 ↓ (2.84)	2.76 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moto Club de São Luís
33.4%

Draw
34%

Maracanã
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

32%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

32.4%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moto Club de São Luís has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Maracanã has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moto Club de São Luís than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maracanã than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Moto Club de São Luís - Maracanã Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Vinicius Caninde ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 0 - 2, Alison ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 2, Valderrama (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Moto Club won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Moto Club de São Luís - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 36.48%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moto Club de São Luís
Brazilian Serie D
24.05.26	Sampaio Corrêa - Moto Club de São Luís	4:0 ✺
16.05.26	Moto Club de São Luís - IAPE	2:2 ✺
10.05.26	Iguatu - Moto Club de São Luís	3:1 ✺
06.05.26	Moto Club de São Luís - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Moto Club de São Luís - Iguatu	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LTLWT
- Maracanã EC
Brazilian Serie D
24.05.26	Parnahyba - Maracanã	0:1 ✺
16.05.26	Maracanã - Iguatu	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Maracanã - Sampaio Corrêa	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	Sampaio Corrêa - Maracanã	0:0 ✺
25.04.26	Iguatu - Maracanã	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
11.04.26	Maracanã - Moto Club de São Luís	2:0

Moto Club de São Luís - Maracanã: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide