Match Info

BRAZIL: Maranhense - Round 11

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Moto Club de São Luís		Pinheiro

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.2	3.9
	1.87	3.25	3.9
	1.72	3.56	4.42	Watch
	1.8	3.43	4.51
	1.87	3.25	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.84)	3.34 ↑ (3.23)	4.13 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moto Club de São Luís
50.4%

Draw
27.4%

Pinheiro
22.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.3%

28.1%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

27.5%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moto Club de São Luís has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Pinheiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

The ML Model estimate for Moto Club de São Luís aligns with the current prediction.

The ML Model estimate for Pinheiro aligns with the current prediction.

Moto Club de São Luís - Pinheiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Jean ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 6 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Maranhense (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Moto Club won 1.

Recent matches Moto Club is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pinheiro is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pinheiro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Moto Club is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Moto Club won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:9 (average 1.1:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Moto Club won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1 (average 1.7:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moto Club de São Luís
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
05.03.25	Moto Club de São Luís - Sousa	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
25.02.25	Moto Club de São Luís - IAPE	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
19.02.25	Sport Recife - Moto Club de São Luís	5:0 ✺
11.02.25	CRB Maceio - Moto Club de São Luís	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
08.02.25	Moto Club de São Luís - Imperatriz de Desportos	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWLTL
- Pinheiro AC
Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
09.02.25	Pinheiro - IAPE	0:2 ✺
01.02.25	Tuntum - Pinheiro	2:1 ✺
29.01.25	Sampaio Corrêa - Pinheiro	3:1 ✺
26.01.25	Pinheiro - Moto Club de São Luís	1:0 ✺
18.01.25	Imperatriz de Desportos - Pinheiro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
26.01.25	Pinheiro - Moto Club de São Luís	1:0
25.02.24	Pinheiro - Moto Club de São Luís	2:3
13.01.24	Moto Club de São Luís - Pinheiro	0:0
01.02.23	Pinheiro - Moto Club de São Luís	2:0
20.03.22	Pinheiro - Moto Club de São Luís	1:1
19.02.22	Moto Club de São Luís - Pinheiro	2:0
21.04.21	Pinheiro - Moto Club de São Luís	2:0

Moto Club de São Luís - Pinheiro