Match Info

BRAZIL: Copa do Nordeste - Round 4

Date: 19 February 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho (Recife)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Sport Recife		Moto Club de São Luís

	1	X	2
	1.2	5.25	12
	1.18	5.8	12
	1.17	7.32	24.61
	1.16	6.09	16.63	Watch
	1.18	6	15
	1.13	6.55	14.2	Watch
	1.18	5.8	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↓ (1.26)	6.12 ↑ (4.82)	15.21 ↑ (11.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sport Recife
78.8%

Draw
15.1%

Moto Club de São Luís
6.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73%

19.1%

7.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sport Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sport Recife's performance.

Moto Club de São Luís has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Sport Recife - Moto Club de São Luís Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Caique Franca (C) 25. Antonio Carlos 20. Atencio R. 30. Chrystian Barletta 2. Di Placido L. 8. Dominguez F. 16. Igor Carius 92. Pablo 91. Romarinho 6. Silva J. 58. Ze Lucas	1. Allan Thiago (G) 10. Danilinho 5. Felipe Dias (C) 11. Luis Gustavo 4. Mauricio Pinto 8. Pedro Dias 9. Rick Sena 7. Vitinho 6. Vitor Carvalho 2. Wesley 3. Yago Ramon
Substitutes
17. Carlos Alberto 44. Chico 29. Dalbert 54. Gomes do Nascimento A. 11. Gustavo Maia 32. Hereda 19. Hyoran 77. Lobato L. 33. Matheus Alexandre 59. Ortiz C. 7. Paciencia G. 12. Thiago Couto (G)	14. Bal 16. Dos Anjos 12. Douglas Henrique (G) 15. Lucas Gomes 13. Luis Fernando 19. Luis Lipek 17. Warllem Mateus 18. Willyan Bolinha

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', Pedro Dias 🟨,
24', Dominguez F. 🟨,
25', 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Chrystian Barletta ⚽,
32', Vitinho 🟨,
34', 🟨,
37', 🟨,
45', 2 - 0, Atencio R. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Pedro Dias ↓, Lucas Gomes ↑,
46', Felipe Dias ↓, Luis Fernando ↑,
53', 3 - 0, Pablo ⚽,
59', 4 - 0, Dominguez F. ⚽,
63', 🟨,
64', Luis Gustavo ↓, Bal ↑,
64', Vitinho ↓, Warllem Mateus ↑,
66', Pablo ↓, Paciencia G. ↑,
66', Romarinho ↓, Carlos Alberto ↑,
66', Dominguez F. ↓, Hyoran ↑,
70', Danilinho ↓, Dos Anjos ↑,
77', Di Placido L. ↓, Hereda ↑,
78', Ze Lucas ↓, Gustavo Maia ↑,
85', 5 - 0, Carlos Alberto ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Moto Club could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Recife is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sport Recife
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
15.02.25	Sport Recife - Náutico Capibaribe	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
11.02.25	Sousa - Sport Recife	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
08.02.25	Sport Recife - Maguary	5:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
04.02.25	Sport Recife - Fortaleza	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
01.02.25	Santa Cruz Recife - Sport Recife	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWWLL
- Moto Club de São Luís
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
11.02.25	CRB Maceio - Moto Club de São Luís	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
08.02.25	Moto Club de São Luís - Imperatriz de Desportos	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
05.02.25	Moto Club de São Luís - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
01.02.25	Sampaio Corrêa - Moto Club de São Luís	1:1 ✺
29.01.25	Tuntum - Moto Club de São Luís	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TLTTT

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