Match Info

BRAZIL: Copa do Nordeste - Round 3

Date: 11 February 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estádio Rei Pelé (Maceió)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Premiere


	CRB Maceio		Moto Club de São Luís

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.33	5.75
	1.43	4.1	6.4
	1.45	3.9	7.19
	1.45	4.06	6.67	Watch
	1.44	3.9	7
	1.4	4.15	6.96	Watch
	1.43	4.1	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.48)	4.08 ↑ (3.88)	6.62 ↑ (5.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CRB Maceio
63.8%

Draw
22.4%

Moto Club de São Luís
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

23.4%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63%

22.8%

14.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CRB Maceio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Moto Club de São Luís has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moto Club de São Luís than the current prediction. (+1%)

CRB Maceio - Moto Club de São Luís Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Matheus Albino (G) 9. Anselmo Ramon (C) 10. Daniel 34. Darlisson 8. Gege 44. Henri 22. Higor Meritao 38. Leo Pereira 2. Matheus Ribeiro 70. Nathan Melo 77. Vitinho	1. Allan Thiago (G) 10. Danilinho 5. Felipe Dias (C) 11. Luis Gustavo 4. Mauricio Pinto 8. Pedro Dias 9. Rick Sena 7. Vitinho 6. Vitor Carvalho 2. Wesley 3. Yago Ramon
Substitutes
16. David Braw 27. Dioran 7. Erick Varao 5. Lucas Kallyel 66. Mateus Pureza 30. Miranda 14. Rhuan 33. Rodriguinho 31. Ronald 20. Vinicius Barata 1. Vitor Caetano (G) 82. Wallace	12. Douglas Henrique (G) 16. Gustavo Rodrigues 13. Luis Fernando 18. Luis Lipek 14. Richard 17. Warllem Mateus 15. Willyan Bolinha

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Danilinho ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, Anselmo Ramon ⚽,
28', Yago Ramon 🟨,
30', Higor Meritao 🟨,
38', Daniel 🟨,
45+5', Henri 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', Luis Gustavo 🟨,
57', Rick Sena 🟨,
64', Nathan Melo ↓, Erick Varao ↑,
64', Rick Sena ↓, Luis Lipek ↑,
67', Danilinho 🟨,
68', Yago Ramon ↓, Luis Fernando ↑,
71', Matheus Albino 🟨,
71', Vitinho 🟨,
73', Henri ↓, Miranda ↑,
73', Daniel ↓, Vinicius Barata ↑,
75', 2 - 1, Vinicius Barata ⚽,
82', 2 - 2, Luis Gustavo ⚽,
87', Pedro Dias ↓, Richard ↑,
90+1', Vitinho ↓, Rhuan ↑,
90+1', Leo Pereira ↓, Rodriguinho ↑,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 5 and 8).

Recent matches CRB is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Moto Club is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

CRB could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match CRB is indisputable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches CRB won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1.7:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams CRB won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CRB Maceio
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
08.02.25	CRB Maceio - Coruripe	5:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
05.02.25	Altos - CRB Maceio	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Alagoas
05.02.25	CS Alagoano - CRB Maceio	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
01.02.25	Murici - CRB Maceio	0:0 ✺
29.01.25	CRB Maceio - Penedense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WTTTT
- Moto Club de São Luís
Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
08.02.25	Moto Club de São Luís - Imperatriz de Desportos	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
05.02.25	Moto Club de São Luís - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
01.02.25	Sampaio Corrêa - Moto Club de São Luís	1:1 ✺
29.01.25	Tuntum - Moto Club de São Luís	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Pinheiro - Moto Club de São Luís	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
18.11.21	CRB Maceio - Moto Club de São Luís	2:0
30.10.21	Moto Club de São Luís - CRB Maceio	2:1
03.02.19	CRB Maceio - Moto Club de São Luís	2:2

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