Match Info

Date: 10 August 2022, Wednesday


	Motor Lublin		KKS Kalisz

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.25	3.25
	1.9	3.2	3.4
	2.05	3.25	3.2
	2.14	3.27	3.43
	2.05	3.1	3.2
	2.06	3.34	3.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.74)	3.24 ↓ (3.43)	3.28 ↓ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Motor Lublin
44.5%

Draw
27.9%

KKS Kalisz
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

26.3%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

28.6%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Motor Lublin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Motor Lublin's form might have worsened.

KKS Kalisz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting KKS Kalisz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Motor Lublin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KKS Kalisz than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for KKS Kalisz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	22.2%	22.2%

Motor Lublin - KKS Kalisz Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Motor will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). KKS Kalisz will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Motor: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Motor is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

KKS Kalisz is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Motor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Motor will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Motor won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Motor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Motor Lublin
Polish Division 2
06.08.22	GKS Jastrzębie - Motor Lublin	2:1 ✺
30.07.22	Polkowice - Motor Lublin	2:0 ✺
Polish Cup
26.07.22	Motor Lublin - Śląsk Wrocław 2	4:2 ✺
Polish Division 2
23.07.22	Motor Lublin - Olimpia Elbląg	1:1 ✺
17.07.22	Garbarnia Kraków - Motor Lublin	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWTT
- KKS 1925 Kalisz
Polish Division 2
06.08.22	KKS Kalisz - Polkowice	2:2 ✺
31.07.22	Olimpia Elbląg - KKS Kalisz	2:2 ✺
Polish Cup
27.07.22	Wigry Suwałki - KKS Kalisz	0:4 ✺
Polish Division 2
23.07.22	KKS Kalisz - Garbarnia Kraków	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
16.07.22	KKS Kalisz - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
23.04.22	Motor Lublin - KKS Kalisz	1:0
09.10.21	KKS Kalisz - Motor Lublin	0:0
10.04.21	KKS Kalisz - Motor Lublin	1:1
04.10.20	Motor Lublin - KKS Kalisz	0:3

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