Match Info

Date: 30 October 2026, Friday ⏱️ In 2d 4h 📅 Remind Me


	Cracovia		Motor Lublin

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.40	3.20	Watch
	2.10	3.60	3.10
	2.07	3.60	3.30
	2.15	3.65	3.21
	2.14	3.65	3.22	Watch
	2.08	3.55	3.10
	2.08	3.56	3.15	Watch
	2.01	3.50	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.99)	3.56 ↓ (3.74)	3.18 ↓ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cracovia
44.5%

Draw
26.1%

Motor Lublin
29.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.8%

25.4%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

25%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cracovia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Motor Lublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cracovia than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Cracovia - Motor Lublin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13th and 12th).

Recent results have been tough for Cracovia (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Motor have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Cracovia holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Cracovia has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 11:7 (averaging 2.8:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Cracovia against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 7:4 goals (averaging 3.5:2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Motor Lublin	12	3	4	5	17:21	-4	13
13	Cracovia	12	3	3	6	14:19	-5	12

Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now

Motor Lublin: 0.54% Cracovia: 0.54%

Last Results with these Odds

Motor Lublin - the odds 3.55 are the expected chance of winning is 26.79%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cracovia Krakow
Polish Ekstraklasa
24.10.26	Piast Gliwice - Cracovia	3:1 ✺
17.10.26	Cracovia - Legia Warsaw	1:1 ✺
10.10.26	Cracovia - Zagłębie Lubin	3:1 ✺
19.09.26	GKS Katowice - Cracovia	3:2 ✺
13.09.26	Wisła Płock - Cracovia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LTWLL
- Motor Lublin
Polish Cup
27.10.26	Motor Lublin - Raków Częstochowa	1:2 penalties ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
23.10.26	Motor Lublin - Zagłębie Lubin	2:2 ✺
17.10.26	Motor Lublin - Śląsk Wrocław	3:2 ✺
12.10.26	Radomiak Radom - Motor Lublin	2:3 ✺
19.09.26	Motor Lublin - Górnik Zabrze	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
16.05.26	Motor Lublin - Cracovia	3:3
22.11.25	Cracovia - Motor Lublin	1:2
26.04.25	Motor Lublin - Cracovia	0:1
26.10.24	Cracovia - Motor Lublin	6:2

Cracovia - Motor Lublin