Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 16

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Cracovii im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego (Kraków)

Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz


	Cracovia		Motor Lublin

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3.4	Watch
	2.1	3.25	3.3	Watch
	1.9	3.64	4.15
	1.86	3.62	4.11	Watch
	2.18	3.22	3.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.86)	3.37 ↓ (3.62)	3.7 ↓ (4.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cracovia
46.5%

Draw
28%

Motor Lublin
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

26.1%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

25.5%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cracovia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Motor Lublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cracovia than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cracovia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	18.2%	18.2%

Cracovia - Motor Lublin Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Cracovia will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Motor will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cracovia: 35.2% – 92%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Madejski S. (G) 66. Wojcik O. 4. Henriksson G. 61. Traore B. 79. Pila D. 43. Klich M. 6. Al Ammari A. 39. Perkovic M. 14. Hasic A. 9. Stojilkovic F. 11. Maigaard M.	1. Brkic I. (G) 28. Stolarski P. 39. Bartos M. 3. Matthys H. 24. Luberecki F. 6. Samper S. 26. Krol M. 7. Rodrigues I. 68. Wolski B. (C) 11. Fabio Ronaldo 9. Czubak K.
Substitutes
8. Aleksic M. 22. Biedrzycki B. 91. Golonka K. (G) 20. Knap K. 17. Minchev M. 19. Olafsson D. 7. Praszelik M. 10. Rakoczy M. 27. Ravas H. (G) 21. Sutalo B. 18. Zahiroleslam K.	42. Ede B. 23. Haxha F. 10. Karasek K. 99. Kukulski P. (G) 21. Labojko J. 16. Lewandowski F. 2. Meyer P. 47. Palacz K. 8. Scalet M. 33. Tratnik G. (G) 19. van Hoeven B. 17. Wojcik F.
Coaches
Elsner L.	Stolarski M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Perkovic M. 🟨,
38', Klich M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Stolarski P. ↓, Wojcik F. ↑,
48', 0 - 1, Rodrigues I. ⚽, Samper S. (A),
57', Stojilkovic F. ↓, Minchev M. ↑,
57', Pila D. ↓, Sutalo B. ↑,
57', Al Ammari A. ↓, Praszelik M. ↑,
67', 1 - 1, Praszelik M. ⚽,
67', Fabio Ronaldo ↓, Karasek K. ↑,
67', Krol M. ↓, van Hoeven B. ↑,
68', Sutalo B. 🟨,
76', Wolski B. ↓, Scalet M. ↑,
76', Hasic A. ↓, Biedrzycki B. ↑,
79', Luberecki F. ↓, Palacz K. ↑,
80', Wojcik F. 🟨,
83', 1 - 2, Czubak K. ⚽, van Hoeven B. (A),
87', Maigaard M. ↓, Zahiroleslam K. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 and 15).

Cracovia is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Motor has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Motor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Cracovia is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Cracovia: Glik K. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Motor: Ndiaye M. (Ankle Injury) Wojcik F. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Motor: Samper S. (Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cracovia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 3.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Cracovia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cracovia Krakow
Polish Ekstraklasa
07.11.25	Radomiak Radom - Cracovia	3:0 ✺
03.11.25	Cracovia - Zagłębie Lubin	0:0 ✺
Polish Cup
29.10.25	Raków Częstochowa - Cracovia	3:0 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
25.10.25	Pogoń Szczecin - Cracovia	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Cracovia - Raków Częstochowa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTLLW
- Motor Lublin
Polish Ekstraklasa
08.11.25	Motor Lublin - Wisła Płock	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Lech Poznań - Motor Lublin	2:2 ✺
24.10.25	Motor Lublin - Widzew Łódź	3:0 ✺
17.10.25	Motor Lublin - GKS Katowice	2:5 ✺
05.10.25	Raków Częstochowa - Motor Lublin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
26.04.25	Motor Lublin - Cracovia	0:1
26.10.24	Cracovia - Motor Lublin	6:2

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