Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 9 - ROUND 17

Date: 15 January 2023, Sunday


	Motril		Marbella

	1	X	2
	3.65	2.88	1.88
	3.8	2.95	1.88
	3.98	3.03	1.88
	3.94	3.1	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.84 ↑ (3.74)	2.99 ↑ (2.91)	1.9 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Motril
23.2%

Draw
29.8%

Marbella
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.2%

29.8%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

28.4%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Motril have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Marbella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motril than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Motril - Marbella Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Play Offs)).

Recent matches Motril is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Marbella is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Marbella is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Motril won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Motril won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Motril
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
08.01.23	Real Jaén - Motril	1:0 ✺
17.12.22	Huétor Tájar - Motril	2:3 ✺
10.12.22	Motril - Huracán Melilla	0:1 ✺
08.12.22	Almeria B - Motril	0:0 ✺
04.12.22	Motril - Malaga B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LWLTT
- Marbella FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
08.01.23	Marbella - Málaga Juniors	3:0 ✺
18.12.22	Real Jaén - Marbella	2:0 ✺
11.12.22	Marbella - Huétor Tájar	2:1 ✺
08.12.22	Huracán Melilla - Marbella	0:1 ✺
04.12.22	Marbella - Almeria B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
18.09.22	Marbella - Motril	2:0
27.02.22	Motril - Marbella	2:1
31.10.21	Marbella - Motril	1:0

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