Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday


	Motril		Churriana de la Vega

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.05	6.5
	1.47	3.94	5.83
	1.43	4.29	6.4	Watch
	1.44	3.6	6
	1.44	3.94	6.6
	1.38	3.8	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.38)	3.94 ↑ (3.8)	6.22 ↑ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Motril
62.8%

Draw
22.8%

Churriana de la Vega
14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

21.6%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Motril have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Churriana de la Vega have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motril than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Churriana de la Vega than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Motril - Churriana de la Vega Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Extra Time (0 - 1)
115', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

First leg result: 1-1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Motril is the obvious favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Motril won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Motril won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Motril	5	3	2	0	8:4	4	11
9	Churriana de la Vega	5	2	0	3	9:9	0	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Motril
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
17.05.26	Churriana de la Vega - Motril	1:1 ✺
10.05.26	Motril - Atlético Porcuna	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	Torre Del Mar - Motril	2:1 ✺
19.04.26	Motril - Martos	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	El Palo - Motril	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TWLTL
- Churriana de la Vega CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
17.05.26	Churriana de la Vega - Motril	1:1 ✺
10.05.26	El Palo - Churriana de la Vega	0:2 ✺
19.04.26	Churriana de la Vega - Torredonjimeno	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Granada B - Churriana de la Vega	2:2 ✺
05.04.26	Churriana de la Vega - Huétor Vega	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
17.05.26	Churriana de la Vega - Motril	1:1
11.02.26	Motril - Churriana de la Vega	4:0

Motril - Churriana de la Vega: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide