The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
El Palo 12.8%
Draw 23%
Motril 64.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
12%
21.9%
66.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
11.8%
21.5%
67.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Palo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
Motril has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Palo than the current prediction. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motril than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
El Palo - Motril Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, Carlos Leon ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Palo won 2.
Recent form of El Palo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Motril has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
In this match, Motril is the obvious favorite.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, El Palo won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:18. (average 1.5:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, El Palo won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:8. (average 2.1:1.1).
Watch
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