Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 12

Date: 15 December 2024, Sunday


	Moura		Lagoa

	1	X	2
	3	3.2	2.1
	3.05	3.25	2.14
	3.3	2.97	2.17
	3.22	3.16	2.12
	3.05	3.25	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (2.63)	3.17 ↓ (3.2)	2.13 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moura
29%

Draw
28.6%

Lagoa
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

28.2%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

28.5%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Moura's form might have worsened.

Lagoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moura than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Moura, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lagoa than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lagoa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Moura - Lagoa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
89', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moura AC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
07.12.24	Estrela da Amadora B - Moura	2:2 ✺
30.11.24	Sintrense - Moura	2:3 ✺
10.11.24	Louletano - Moura	4:0 ✺
03.11.24	Moura - Comércio e Indústria	1:2 ✺
27.10.24	Moncarapachense - Moura	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 TWLLL
- Lagoa
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
08.12.24	Lagoa - Amora	1:1 ✺
30.11.24	Lagoa - Barreirense	2:0 ✺
10.11.24	Estrela da Amadora B - Lagoa	1:1 ✺
03.11.24	Lagoa - Sintrense	0:1 ✺
27.10.24	Louletano - Lagoa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TWTLW

Moura - Lagoa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide