Match Info

Date: 10 April 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Moura		Pinhalnovense

	1	X	2
	7	4.1	1.4
	6.5	4	1.35
	6.6	4.2	1.39
	7.52	4.32	1.44
	8	4.7	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.12 ↑ (5.98)	4.26 ↑ (3.62)	1.38 ↓ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moura
12.8%

Draw
21.3%

Pinhalnovense
65.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

15.2%

25.1%

59.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.7%

21%

71.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Pinhalnovense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pinhalnovense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moura than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pinhalnovense than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pinhalnovense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Moura has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Pinhalnovense is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Pinhalnovense is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Moura won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moura AC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
03.04.21	Mineiro Aljustrelense - Moura	2:1 ✺
14.03.21	Moura - Olhanense	1:4 ✺
10.03.21	Moura - Lusitano GC	1:2 ✺
28.02.21	Esperança de Lagos - Moura	1:1 ✺
22.02.21	Moura - Amora	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLLTL
- CD Pinhalnovense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
03.04.21	Pinhalnovense - Olhanense	1:0 ✺
21.03.21	Amora - Pinhalnovense	2:1 ✺
14.03.21	Esperança de Lagos - Pinhalnovense	2:1 ✺
07.03.21	Pinhalnovense - Moncarapachense	0:1 ✺
03.03.21	Pinhalnovense - Louletano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
17.02.21	Pinhalnovense - Moura	2:1
10.03.19	Pinhalnovense - Moura	4:2
12.02.17	Pinhalnovense - Moura	1:1

Moura - Pinhalnovense

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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