Match Info

Date: 10 March 2021, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Moura		Lusitano GC

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.5	1.75
	4.1	3.3	1.7
	3.95	3.45	1.75
	4.24	3.67	1.85
	4.22	3.58	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.12 ↑ (2.92)	3.5 ↑ (3.3)	1.76 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moura
22.1%

Draw
26%

Lusitano GC
51.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.4%

27.8%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

19.9%

57.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Moura's form might have worsened.

Lusitano GC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lusitano GC's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moura than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitano GC than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lusitano GC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Moura has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Lusitano GC is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lusitano GC will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moura AC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
28.02.21	Esperança de Lagos - Moura	1:1 ✺
22.02.21	Moura - Amora	1:3 ✺
17.02.21	Pinhalnovense - Moura	2:1 ✺
17.01.21	Setúbal - Moura	2:1 ✺
13.01.21	Moura - Mineiro Aljustrelense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLLLL
- Lusitano GC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
27.02.21	Setúbal - Lusitano GC	5:2 ✺
21.02.21	Lusitano GC - Mineiro Aljustrelense	0:0 ✺
13.02.21	Louletano - Lusitano GC	1:0 ✺
07.02.21	Lusitano GC - Amora	0:2 ✺
16.01.21	Lusitano GC - Pinhalnovense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LTLLW

Moura - Lusitano GC

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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