Match Info
Date: 19 September 2020, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
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Mouscron |
|
Gent |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
5.5 |
4 |
1.57 |
 Watch |
 |
5.25 |
4 |
1.65 |
|
 |
5.1 |
4.2 |
1.62 |
|
 |
4.9 |
4 |
1.6 |
|
 |
5.11 |
4.36 |
1.65 |
|
 |
4.33 |
3.8 |
1.73 |
|
 |
5.15 |
4.15 |
1.63 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.05 ↑
(4.28) |
4.07 ↑
(3.75) |
1.64 ↓
(1.78) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Mouscron
18.8% | Draw
23.3% | Gent
58% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mouscron has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Gent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gent's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mouscron than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gent than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gent could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Mouscron - Gent Predictions
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Mouscron will win (votes: 10 - 40%). Gent will win (votes: 8 - 32%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 28%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mouscron: 20.8% – 59.2%.Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation to Proximus League and 16).Mouscron has a chance of relegated (16%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).Gent has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a small chance of qualify for ucl (6%), has a very small chance of win league (3%). Mouscron is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0). Recent matches Gent is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2). Mouscron could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days. In this match Gent is a favorite.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Mouscron won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 15-24. Including matches at home between the teams Mouscron won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-11.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Belgian Jupiler Pro League | | | 18.01.20 | Gent - Mouscron | 3:1 | | 11.08.19 | Mouscron - Gent | 2:1 | | 10.02.19 | Gent - Mouscron | 1:2 | | 30.10.18 | Mouscron - Gent | 3:1 | | 24.11.17 | Gent - Mouscron | 3:1 | | 20.08.17 | Mouscron - Gent | 3:2 | | 26.02.17 | Gent - Mouscron | 3:1 |
|
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