Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Round 1

Date: 9 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Planet Group Arena (Gent)

Referee: Lambrechts E. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	DAZN Pro League 1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Gent		KV Mechelen

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.40	3.60	Watch
	1.98	3.50	3.80
	1.95	3.40	3.80	Watch
	1.98	3.61	4.06
	1.93	3.59	3.89	Watch
	1.94	3.55	3.90
	1.95	3.67	3.84	Watch
	1.96	3.55	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.05)	3.53 ↑ (3.42)	3.83 ↑ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gent
48.5%

Draw
26.8%

KV Mechelen
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

27.4%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

KV Mechelen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.3%	0%	6.7%

Gent - KV Mechelen Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gent (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Gent will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Roef D. (C) 5. Ngom M. 16. Burgess C. 44. Van Der Heyden S. 57. Volckaert M. 27. De Vlieger T. 22. Lopes L. 20. Araujo T. 37. Kadri A. 11. Sonko M. 47. Vergara J.	13. Miras N. (G) 39. Decoene M. 4. Diouf G. 3. Marsa J. 23. Zekri M. 6. Hammar F. (C) 26. Praet D. 8. Salifou D. 11. Bafdili B. 14. Raman B. 9. van Brederode M.
Substitutes
8. Benes L. 75. Cisse I. 17. Delorge-Knieper M. 56. Diallo M. 28. El Adfaoui M. 45. Goore H. 3. Paskotsi M. 30. Peersman K. (G) 59. Seck E. H.	20. Corbanie K. 1. De Wolf O. (G) 10. Kireev M. 7. Koudou T. 19. Lohunanu-Mbasi M. 40. Ouahabi A. 18. Struyf I. 17. Van Meirvenne C. 27. Vanrafelghem K.
Coaches
De Mil R.	Vanderbiest F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
28', Diouf G. ↓, Corbanie K. ↑,
37', 1 - 0, Araujo T. ⚽,
45', 2 - 0, Vergara J. ⚽, Sonko M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Burgess C. ↓, Paskotsi M. ↑,
46', Raman B. ↓, Lohunanu-Mbasi M. ↑,
71', Kadri A. ↓, Goore H. ↑,
71', De Vlieger T. ↓, Delorge-Knieper M. ↑,
76', Marsa J. ↓, Struyf I. ↑,
77', Praet D. ↓, Kireev M. ↑,
80', Vergara J. ↓, Cisse I. ↑,
85', Decoene M. 🟨,
86', Bafdili B. ↓, Van Meirvenne C. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gent won 1.

Gent is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Mechelen has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Gent may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Gent has had a series of away games.

Gent is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Gent: Ayinde A. (Injury) De Meyer G. (Shoulder Injury) Samoise M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Mechelen: Ozdemir H. (Inactive) St. Jago T. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gent won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 37:22. (average 1.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Gent won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:7. (average 1.9:0.7).

Outrights of Belgian Jupiler Pro League for now

Gent: 10.67% KV Mechelen: 0.5%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Gent	7	6	1	0	13:4	9	19
18	KV Mechelen	7	0	3	4	5:14	-9	3

Last Results with these Odds

Gent - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 45.7%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

KV Mechelen - the odds 3.48 are the expected chance of winning is 26.91%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Gent
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.08.26	IFK Göteborg - Gent	0:1 ✺
30.07.26	Gent - LNZ Cherkasy	1:0 penalties ✺
23.07.26	LNZ Cherkasy - Gent	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
04.07.26	AZ Alkmaar - Gent	3:3 ✺
27.06.26	Merelbeke - Gent	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWTTW
- KV Mechelen
Club Friendly
01.08.26	KV Mechelen - Dunkerque	Canceled ✺
01.08.26	KV Mechelen - Dunkerque	0:0 ✺
25.07.26	Willem II - KV Mechelen	1:0 ✺
18.07.26	KV Mechelen - ADO Den Haag	2:3 ✺
15.07.26	Heist - KV Mechelen	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 ?TLLW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
03.05.26	KV Mechelen - Gent	1:0
06.04.26	Gent - KV Mechelen	1:1
08.03.26	Gent - KV Mechelen	3:1
16.08.25	KV Mechelen - Gent	1:1
07.02.25	KV Mechelen - Gent	3:3
15.09.24	Gent - KV Mechelen	2:0
04.05.24	KV Mechelen - Gent	2:4

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