Match Info

Date: 29 August 2020, Saturday


	Mouscron		Zulte Waregem

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.6	2.37	Watch
	2.9	3.5	2.4
	2.8	3.55	2.43
	2.75	3.4	2.35
	2.88	3.46	2.45
	2.7	3.4	2.45
	2.99	3.6	2.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.76)	3.5 ↑ (3.46)	2.43 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 0.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mouscron
33.7%

Draw
27.2%

Zulte Waregem
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

27.5%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

20.7%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mouscron has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Zulte Waregem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mouscron than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mouscron that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zulte Waregem than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zulte Waregem could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	21.9%	40.6%

Mouscron - Zulte Waregem Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Mouscron will win (votes: 12 - 37.5%). Waregem will win (votes: 13 - 40.6%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 21.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Waregem: 23.6% – 57.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

No spectators.

Mouscron has a small chance of relegated (6%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Zulte Waregem has a small chance of relegated (7%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (3%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Mouscron is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Zulte Waregem is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mouscron could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Zulte Waregem have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Mouscron won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 20-30.

Including matches at home between the teams Mouscron won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Royal Excel Mouscron
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
23.08.20	Anderlecht - Mouscron	1:1 ✺
14.08.20	Mouscron - KV Mechelen	0:1 ✺
08.08.20	Royal Antwerp - Mouscron	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.20	Mouscron - Saint-Gilloise	0:2 ✺
18.07.20	Mouscron - Lille	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 TLTLL
- Zulte Waregem
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
22.08.20	Zulte Waregem - Beveren	4:1 ✺
16.08.20	Beerschot Wilrijk - Zulte Waregem	3:1 ✺
09.08.20	Zulte Waregem - Genk	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.20	Zulte Waregem - Gent	2:1 ✺
25.07.20	Zulte Waregem - Sint-Truidense	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
16.02.20	Zulte Waregem - Mouscron	1:2
28.09.19	Mouscron - Zulte Waregem	2:2
05.05.19	Mouscron - Zulte Waregem	3:0
13.04.19	Zulte Waregem - Mouscron	2:2
08.12.18	Mouscron - Zulte Waregem	0:0
27.10.18	Zulte Waregem - Mouscron	2:2
28.04.18	Mouscron - Zulte Waregem	1:2

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