Match Info

Date: 12 April 2021, Monday


	Mouscron		Royal Antwerp

	1	X	2
	4	4	1.75	Watch
	4.33	3.6	1.85
	3.95	3.65	1.9
	4.3	3.6	1.85
	4.43	3.65	1.87
	4.2	3.4	1.85
	4.15	3.65	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.19 ↑ (3.62)	3.65 ↓ (3.7)	1.85 ↓ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mouscron
22.6%

Draw
26%

Royal Antwerp
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

25.6%

48.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

19.8%

62.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mouscron has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Royal Antwerp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mouscron than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Royal Antwerp than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Royal Antwerp could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.7%	5.6%	84.7%

Mouscron - Royal Antwerp Predictions

Users Predictions: Royal Antwerp will win (61 of 72 users predict this - 84.72%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.41% – 93.03%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

No spectators.

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 17 in the zone 1B Pro League (Relegation) and 4 in the zone Promotion to Jupiler League (Championship Group)).

Mouscron has a good chance of relegated (59%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Antwerp has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of qualify for ucl (26%), has a small chance of win league (8%).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Antwerp could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Antwerp is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Mouscron won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Mouscron won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Royal Excel Mouscron
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
04.04.21	Charleroi - Mouscron	1:1 ✺
20.03.21	Mouscron - Oostende	0:1 ✺
07.03.21	Mouscron - Standard Liège	1:0 ✺
28.02.21	Beerschot Wilrijk - Mouscron	2:2 ✺
20.02.21	Mouscron - Cercle Brugge	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TLWTL
- Royal Antwerp FC
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
05.04.21	Royal Antwerp - Anderlecht	1:4 ✺
21.03.21	Club Brugge - Royal Antwerp	0:2 ✺
06.03.21	Royal Antwerp - Kortrijk	4:2 ✺
01.03.21	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Royal Antwerp	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.02.21	Glasgow Rangers - Royal Antwerp	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
08.08.20	Royal Antwerp - Mouscron	1:1
02.11.19	Mouscron - Royal Antwerp	3:1
26.12.18	Royal Antwerp - Mouscron	2:1
11.08.18	Mouscron - Royal Antwerp	0:1
09.12.17	Royal Antwerp - Mouscron	1:0
29.10.17	Mouscron - Royal Antwerp	2:2
Club Friendly
05.04.17	Royal Antwerp - Mouscron	1:2

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