The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Charleroi 52.3%
Draw 26.3%
Mouscron 21.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.9%
26.4%
21.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.5%
17.5%
32.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Charleroi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Mouscron has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charleroi than the current prediction. (-17.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Charleroi that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mouscron than the current prediction. (+11.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mouscron could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
67.3%
14.3%
18.4%
Charleroi - Mouscron Predictions
Users Predictions:
49 users predict this event. Charleroi will win (votes: 33 - 67.3%). Mouscron will win (votes: 9 - 18.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 14.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Charleroi: 54.2% โ 80.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
No spectators.
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone 1B Pro League (Relegation)).
Charleroi has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Mouscron has a good chance of relegated (77%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
The competitors look crappy now.
In this match Charleroi is a favorite.
Last 16 head-to-head matches Charleroi won 11 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 25-10.
Including matches at home between the teams Charleroi won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-2.