Match Info

Date: 28 February 2021, Sunday


	Beerschot Wilrijk		Mouscron

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.6	2.9	Watch
	2.4	3.4	2.95
	2.28	3.65	2.95
	2.31	3.2	3
	2.35	3.52	3.08
	2	3.6	3.4
	2.36	3.36	3.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.06)	3.48 ↓ (3.69)	3.05 ↓ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beerschot Wilrijk
41.5%

Draw
27.3%

Mouscron
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

25.6%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

19.8%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beerschot Wilrijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Mouscron has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beerschot Wilrijk than the current prediction. (+17.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Beerschot Wilrijk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mouscron than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mouscron, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Beerschot Wilrijk - Mouscron Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

No spectators.

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion to Jupiler League (Europa League Group) and 17 in the zone 1B Pro League (Relegation)).

Mouscron has a good chance of relegated (67%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Beerschot Wilrijk is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mouscron has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Beerschot Wilrijk could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Beerschot Wilrijk won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FCO Beerschot Wilrijk
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
21.02.21	Genk - Beerschot Wilrijk	1:2 ✺
14.02.21	Beerschot Wilrijk - KV Mechelen	1:2 ✺
Belgian Cup
11.02.21	Beerschot Wilrijk - KV Mechelen	0:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
07.02.21	Beerschot Wilrijk - Royal Antwerp	1:2 ✺
30.01.21	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Beerschot Wilrijk	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WLLLW
- Royal Excel Mouscron
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
20.02.21	Mouscron - Cercle Brugge	1:2 ✺
15.02.21	Gent - Mouscron	4:0 ✺
05.02.21	Mouscron - Kortrijk	0:3 ✺
Belgian Cup
02.02.21	Saint-Gilloise - Mouscron	2:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
30.01.21	Eupen - Mouscron	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
12.12.20	Mouscron - Beerschot Wilrijk	3:1

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