Match Info

Date: 1 December 2020, Tuesday


	Mouscron		Sint-Truidense

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.4	2.6	Watch
	2.8	3.2	2.65
	2.75	3.25	2.6
	2.65	3.05	2.65
	2.79	3.32	2.72
	2.7	3.1	2.62
	2.72	3.26	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.7)	3.23 ↓ (3.48)	2.64 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mouscron
34.7%

Draw
29.4%

Sint-Truidense
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

27.2%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

19.7%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mouscron has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Sint-Truidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mouscron than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mouscron, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sint-Truidense than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sint-Truidense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	36%	44%

Mouscron - Sint Truidense Predictions

Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Mouscron will win (votes: 10 - 20%). Sint-Truidense will win (votes: 22 - 44%). It will Tie (votes: 18 - 36%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sint-Truidense: 30.2% – 57.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

No spectators.

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation to Proximus League and 16).

Mouscron has a chance of relegated (37%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Sint-Truidense has a chance of relegated (28%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Mouscron is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Sint-Truidense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sint-Truidense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Mouscron won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 16-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Mouscron won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Royal Excel Mouscron
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
28.11.20	Mouscron - Club Brugge	0:0 ✺
25.11.20	Cercle Brugge - Mouscron	1:2 ✺
22.11.20	Genk - Mouscron	4:1 ✺
18.10.20	Mouscron - Eupen	0:2 ✺
04.10.20	Oostende - Mouscron	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 TWLLL
- Sint-Truidense VV
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
28.11.20	Sint-Truidense - Beveren	1:1 ✺
23.11.20	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Sint-Truidense	2:2 ✺
07.11.20	Sint-Truidense - Genk	1:2 ✺
25.10.20	Sint-Truidense - Standard Liège	2:0 ✺
17.10.20	Beerschot Wilrijk - Sint-Truidense	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
25.01.20	Mouscron - Sint-Truidense	1:3
27.07.19	Sint-Truidense - Mouscron	0:1
10.03.19	Mouscron - Sint-Truidense	1:1
06.10.18	Sint-Truidense - Mouscron	3:1
02.12.17	Mouscron - Sint-Truidense	1:1
26.10.17	Sint-Truidense - Mouscron	1:0
03.12.16	Sint-Truidense - Mouscron	1:0

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