The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Zulte Waregem 28.1%
Draw 25.5%
Genk 46.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.4%
26.8%
43.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31%
25.4%
41.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zulte Waregem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
Genk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zulte Waregem than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genk than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
53.3%
0%
46.7%
Zulte Waregem - Genk Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Waregem will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Genk will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for Waregem: 23.8% – 76.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bostyn L. (G) 12. Paugain W. 4. Lemoine L. (C) 5. Kiilerich J. 55. Cappelle Y. 8. Claes T. 6. Lofolomo E. 11. Ake M. 20. Hedl T. 21. Atrok I. 18. Ementa A.
28. Brughmans L. (G) 77. El Ouahdi Z. 24. Sattlberger N. 44. Kongolo J. 18. Kayembe J. 21. Bangoura I. 8. Heynen B. (C) 38. Heymans D. 11. Erenbjerg J. 17. Durosinmi R. 10. Ito J.
Substitutes
90. Akpa-Chukwu H. 42. Dobbels A. (G) 7. Mituljikic N. 25. Panduro T. 2. Seven K. 49. Tangala F. 3. Tanghe A. 36. Ujka S. 53. Vemba K.
65. Akpan C. 23. Bibout A. 56. De Wannemacker A. 86. Haroun K. 26. Lawal T. (G) 19. Medina Y. 29. Mirisola R. 6. Smets M. 30. Yokoyama A.
Coaches
Colpaert S.
Olivieri D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, Durosinmi R. ⚽, Ito J. (A),
42', Heymans D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', Ementa A. 🟨,
61', Durosinmi R. ↓, Bibout A. ↑,
64', Atrok I. ↓, Mituljikic N. ↑,
72', El Ouahdi Z. ↓, Akpan C. ↑,
72', Kayembe J. ↓, Medina Y. ↑,
72', Heymans D. ↓, Yokoyama A. ↑,
76', Hedl T. ↓, Ujka S. ↑,
81', Kongolo J. 🟨,
82', 1 - 1, Ake M. ⚽,
86', Akpan C. 🟨,
86', 2 - 1, Ujka S. ⚽, Ementa A. (A),
87', Erenbjerg J. ↓, Mirisola R. ↑,
90+1', Medina Y. 🟨,
90+2', Paugain W. ↓, Tangala F. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waregem won 1.
Waregem is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Genk has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Genk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Genk has had a series of away games.
Genk could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Waregem won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 16 matches, and goals 19:45. (average 1:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Waregem won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:22. (average 1.2:2.4).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Genk
8
3
3
2
16:12
4
12
8
Waregem
8
3
2
3
10:9
1
11
Last Results with these Odds
Genk - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 43.83%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.