Match Info

AFRICA: World Championship - Qualification - First stage - Round 3

Date: 7 June 2024, Friday

Location: Estádio do Zimpeto (Maputo)

Referee: Mogos Teklu T. (Eri)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV1


	Mozambique		Somalia

	1	X	2
	1.22	7	11	Watch
	1.22	6.5	11.5
	1.2	6.5	13
	1.21	6.47	13.5
	1.2	6.47	10.71
	1.22	6	10	Watch
	1.23	6.4	12.5	Watch
	1.19	6.2	13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↑ (1.07)	6.44 ↓ (9.03)	11.9 ↓ (33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mozambique
77.5%

Draw
14.6%

Somalia
7.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

86.9%

10.3%

2.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mozambique has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mozambique's form might have worsened.

Somalia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Somalia's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	14.3%	7.1%

Mozambique - Somalia Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Mozambique will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Somalia will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mozambique: 57.1% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ernan (G) Associacao Black Bulls 16. Amade A. Oostende 20. Catamo G. Sporting Lisbon 7. Domingues (C) UD Songo 21. Guima Chaves 5. Langa B. Almeria 14. Macandza D. Costa do Sol 15. Mandava R. Atl. Madrid 17. Mexer Bandirmaspor 13. Ratifo S. 1. CfR Pforzheim 19. Witi Nacional	8. Abdullahi A. (C) Decic 9. Ahmed Y. Avondale FC 21. Awad M. 4. Cali M. 15. Elmi S. F. 3. Gigli A. Correggese 16. Haji I. 14. Marsis C. 18. Mohamed F. Ekenas IF 13. Mohamud Jama A. 11. Suleiman M. Spakenburg
Substitutes
6. Amadu UD Songo 11. Antonio D. Ferroviario Beira 10. Bauque C. Gabala 8. Dove E. Kaizer Chiefs 18. Gildo Covilha 9. King L. UD Songo 3. Malembana D. Noah 4. Nene Associacao Black Bulls 23. Pepo Caldas SC 22. Urrubal I. (G) 12. Zavala K. (G)	10. Bwana H. 12. Cabdulqaadir C. 7. Hassan S. Hashtag 23. Hussein I. A. (G) 22. Maxamed C. 20. Salim A. Orlando City 1. Sheikh A. 2. Sheik M. 6. Shirwa I. 17. Zakariyah N.
Coaches
Francisco Q. C. J.	Lousteque R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Amade A. ⚽, Witi (A),
29', 2 - 0, Ratifo S. ⚽, Catamo G. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Catamo G. 🟨,
55', Abdullahi A. 🟨,
55', Ratifo S. 🟨,
61', Domingues ↓, Bauque C. ↑,
61', Ali M. 🟨,
64', Awad M. ↓, Hassan S. ↑,
64', Haji I. ↓, Shirwa I. ↑,
66', 2 - 1, Shirwa I. ⚽, Ali M. (A),
70', Ratifo S. ↓, King L. ↑,
70', Witi ↓, Malembana D. ↑,
77', Marsis ↓, Zakariyah N. ↑,
85', Catamo G. ↓, Gildo ↑,
85', Amade A. ↓, Nene ↑,
89', Nene 🟨,
90+2', Gigli A. 🟨,

Preview

In this match Mozambique is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mozambique
Africa Cup of Nations
22.01.24	Mozambique - Ghana	2:2 ✺
19.01.24	Cape Verde - Mozambique	3:0 ✺
14.01.24	Egypt - Mozambique	2:2 ✺
Friendly
08.01.24	Botswana - Mozambique	1:1 ✺
FIFA World Cup
19.11.23	Mozambique - Algeria	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TLTTL
- Somalia
Africa Cup of Nations
26.03.24	Eswatini - Somalia	2:2 ✺
20.03.24	Somalia - Eswatini	0:3 ✺
FIFA World Cup
21.11.23	Somalia - Uganda	0:1 ✺
16.11.23	Algeria - Somalia	3:1 ✺
Friendly
17.10.23	Somalia - Sierra Leone	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TLLLL

Mozambique - Somalia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide