Match Info

AFRICA: WORLD CHAMPIONSHIP - QUALIFICATION - FIRST STAGE - ROUND 2

Date: 21 November 2023, Tuesday


	Somalia		Uganda

	1	X	2
	12	4.75	1.3	Watch
	10	4.5	1.35	Watch
	10	4.5	1.33	Watch
	11.5	4.62	1.34
	10.67	4.62	1.33
	13	4.4	1.29
	10.75	4.5	1.34	Watch
	10	4.4	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.99 ↓ (11.5)	4.54 ↓ (6.13)	1.33 ↑ (1.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Somalia
8.5%

Draw
20.7%

Uganda
70.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

7.9%

14.8%

77.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Somalia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Uganda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Uganda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Somalia - Uganda Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Somalia will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Uganda will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Uganda: 68.4% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Yuusuf M. (G) 4. Ibrahim I. A. 8. Ismail I. 15. Elmi S. F. 2. Mohamed A. 12. Ahmed Y. 10. Ilyas I. 5. Baano S. (C) 20. Jama O. 16. Abatari I. 17. Hassan S.	1. Watenga I. (G) 4. Semakula K. 5. Mugabi B. 15. Lwaliwa H. 23. Kayondo A. 21. Oyirwoth A. 8. Aucho K. (C) 14. Bwomono E. 20. Mutyaba T. 9. Bayo F. 17. Mato R.
Substitutes
7. Abdikarim H. 19. Abdulkadir M. 11. Ahmed F. 21. Anes A. 9. Haji A. 3. Hussein A. M. 23. Hussein I. A. (G) 14. Isse A. 1. Mohamed M. S. 18. Mohammed A. 22. Salim A. 6. Sidow A.	11. Anukani B. 3. Awany T. D. 2. Basangwa R. 6. Byaruhanga B. 22. Juma I. 13. Karisa M. 10. Kizito L. 19. Komakech J. (G) 16. Lutalo U. 18. Magoola S. (G) 7. Omedi D. 12. Sentamu Y. 33. Torach R.
Coaches
Lousteque R.	Put P.

Preview

Neutral location - Stade Municipal de Berkane.

In this match Uganda is indisputable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Somalia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Somalia
FIFA World Cup
16.11.23	Algeria - Somalia	3:1 ✺
Friendly
17.10.23	Somalia - Sierra Leone	0:2 ✺
14.10.23	Niger - Somalia	3:0 ✺
African Nations Championship
30.07.22	Tanzania - Somalia	2:1 ✺
23.07.22	Somalia - Tanzania	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Uganda
FIFA World Cup
17.11.23	Guinea - Uganda	2:1 ✺
Friendly
17.10.23	Zambia - Uganda	3:0 ✺
13.10.23	Mali - Uganda	1:0 ✺
Africa Cup of Nations
07.09.23	Niger - Uganda	0:2 ✺
18.06.23	Uganda - Algeria	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

CECAFA Championship
09.12.19	Somalia - Uganda	0:2
African Nations Championship
03.08.19	Uganda - Somalia	4:1

Somalia - Uganda: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide