Match Info

MALTA: CHALLENGE LEAGUE - ROUND 12

Date: 3 December 2022, Saturday


	Mqabba		Lija Athletic

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.9	3.7	1.7
	3.65	3.6	1.73
	3.86	3.81	1.75
	3.95	3.82	1.71
	3.75	3.75	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.82 ↑ (3.68)	3.74 ↓ (3.8)	1.73 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mqabba
23.6%

Draw
24.2%

Lija Athletic
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

23.8%

51.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

20.4%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mqabba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Lija Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mqabba than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mqabba, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lija Athletic than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lija Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group) and 8 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group)).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Lija Athletic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Lija Athletic is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mqabba won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Mqabba won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mqabba FC
Maltese Challenge League
27.11.22	Melita - Mqabba	2:1 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
15.11.22	Mqabba - Victoria Hotspurs	3:2 ✺
Maltese Challenge League
05.11.22	Mqabba - San Ġwann	2:3 ✺
01.11.22	Naxxar Lions - Mqabba	1:1 ✺
29.10.22	Zejtun Corinthians - Mqabba	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWLTL
- Lija Athletic
Maltese Challenge League
14.11.22	Lija Athletic - Zejtun Corinthians	2:4 ✺
06.11.22	Qrendi - Lija Athletic	3:3 ✺
03.11.22	Lija Athletic - Marsa	0:2 ✺
30.10.22	Sliema Wanderers - Lija Athletic	1:0 ✺
22.10.22	Lija Athletic - Attard	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
02.04.22	Lija Athletic - Mqabba	4:3
13.12.21	Mqabba - Lija Athletic	1:1
07.02.20	Lija Athletic - Mqabba	4:2
17.02.19	Mqabba - Lija Athletic	3:1
30.09.18	Lija Athletic - Mqabba	1:1

Mqabba - Lija Athletic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide