Match Info

NPL NSW - Round 11

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Popondetta Park (Sydney)


	Mt Druitt Town Rangers		Blacktown City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.5	4.8	1.42
	4.7	4.5	1.5	Watch
	4.8	5.04	1.53
	4.93	5.01	1.51	Watch
	4.55	4.68	1.57	Watch
	4.7	4.5	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.86 ↑ (4.66)	4.76 ↑ (4.6)	1.51 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mt Druitt Town Rangers
19%

Draw
19.5%

Blacktown City
61.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.6%

19.8%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.9%

19.1%

62.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mt Druitt Town Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Blacktown City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mt Druitt Town Rangers than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blacktown City than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Mt Druitt Town Rangers - Blacktown City Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mt Druitt Rangers (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
31', 1 - 0, Jackson-Brown C. ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, Mallia M. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 2, Mallia M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 2 - 2, Theph T. ⚽,
66', 2 - 3, Campbell L. ⚽,
84', Sfiligoi Z. 🟥,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone NPL NSW (Relegation) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL NSW (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mt Druitt Rangers won 1.

Mt Druitt Rangers is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Blacktown City is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Blacktown City have a series of home games.

In this match Blacktown City is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Mt Druitt Rangers won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9:19 (average 0.9:1.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Mt Druitt Rangers won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:10 (average 0.8:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mt Druitt Town Rangers
Australian NPL NSW
12.04.25	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - Mt Druitt Town Rangers	5:0 ✺
05.04.25	Mt Druitt Town Rangers - Sydney Olympic	0:4 ✺
30.03.25	Sydney FC U23 - Mt Druitt Town Rangers	0:2 ✺
22.03.25	Mt Druitt Town Rangers - St. George City	0:1 ✺
15.03.25	Mt Druitt Town Rangers - Central Coast Mariners U23	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWLT
- Blacktown City FC
Australian NPL NSW
13.04.25	Blacktown City - St George Saints	3:2 ✺
05.04.25	Blacktown City - Sutherland Sharks	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Blacktown City - Manly United	1:1 ✺
22.03.25	Rockdale Ilinden - Blacktown City	3:0 ✺
15.03.25	Blacktown City - Sydney Olympic	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL NSW
17.06.23	Mt Druitt Town Rangers - Blacktown City	0:2
04.03.23	Blacktown City - Mt Druitt Town Rangers	4:1
27.05.22	Mt Druitt Town Rangers - Blacktown City	1:1
13.03.22	Blacktown City - Mt Druitt Town Rangers	4:2
11.04.21	Blacktown City - Mt Druitt Town Rangers	0:1
08.08.20	Mt Druitt Town Rangers - Blacktown City	2:2
Club Friendly
31.01.20	Mt Druitt Town Rangers - Blacktown City	1:1

Mt Druitt Town Rangers - Blacktown City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide