Match Info

NPL NSW - Round 14

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Landen Stadium (Sydney)


	Blacktown City		St George Saints

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.3	3.5	2.58	Watch
	2.38	3.8	2.52
	2.39	3.41	2.74	Watch
	2.4	3.4	2.45
	2.32	3.68	2.44	Watch
	2.08	3.4	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.08)	3.53 ↑ (3.4)	2.56 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blacktown City
39.1%

Draw
25.6%

St George Saints
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

25.5%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

22.8%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blacktown City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

St George Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blacktown City than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Blacktown City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St George Saints than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St George Saints, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Blacktown City - St George Saints Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Blacktown City will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). St George Saints will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 1 - 1, ⚽,
66', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone NPL NSW (Relegation) and 10).

Blacktown City has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

St George Saints is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, St George Saints has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Blacktown City won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Blacktown City won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blacktown City FC
Australian NPL NSW
02.05.26	University of New South Wales - Blacktown City	2:2 ✺
26.04.26	Blacktown City - North West Sydney Spirit	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Sydney FC U23 - Blacktown City	2:2 ✺
12.04.26	Blacktown City - Wollongong Wolves	1:3 ✺
04.04.26	St. George City - Blacktown City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TWTLT
- St George Saints
Australian NPL NSW
02.05.26	St George Saints - Western Sydney Wanderers Youth	0:4 ✺
26.04.26	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - St George Saints	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	SD Raiders - St George Saints	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Sydney FC U23 - St George Saints	4:2 ✺
05.04.26	Rockdale Ilinden - St George Saints	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL NSW
27.07.25	St George Saints - Blacktown City	3:2
13.04.25	Blacktown City - St George Saints	3:2
02.06.24	Blacktown City - St George Saints	3:0
24.02.24	St George Saints - Blacktown City	0:0

Blacktown City - St George Saints: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide