Match Info

Challenge League - Relegation Group - Round 3

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Victor Tedesco Stadium (Hamrun)


	Mtarfa		Żurrieq

	1	X	2
	15.5	7.7	1.09
	21.24	12.98	1.04
	16.17	12.45	1.05	Watch
	29	11	1.05
	23	13	1.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	20.98 ↑ (19.71)	11.43 ↓ (12.1)	1.05 ↑ (1.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mtarfa
4.4%

Draw
8%

Żurrieq
87.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

4.6%

7.5%

87.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mtarfa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Żurrieq has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Mtarfa - Żurrieq Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2.5 - Mtarfa (2.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mtarfa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Aquilina G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
77', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Mtarfa has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Żurrieq is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Żurrieq may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Żurrieq has had a series of away games.

In this match, Żurrieq is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mtarfa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Zurrieq	2	0	0	2	1:3	-2	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mtarfa FC
Maltese Challenge League
01.03.26	Żebbuġ Rangers - Mtarfa	6:0 ✺
21.02.26	Mġarr United - Mtarfa	5:0 ✺
15.02.26	Mtarfa - Sirens	0:8 ✺
08.02.26	Mtarfa - Pietà Hotspurs	0:6 ✺
31.01.26	Swieqi United - Mtarfa	8:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Żurrieq FC
Maltese FA Trophy
04.03.26	Żurrieq - Naxxar Lions	1:2 ET ✺
Maltese Challenge League
28.02.26	Vittoriosa Stars - Żurrieq	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Gudja United - Żurrieq	0:3 ✺
14.02.26	Pietà Hotspurs - Żurrieq	3:1 ✺
07.02.26	Sirens - Żurrieq	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
11.01.26	Żurrieq - Mtarfa	1:1
24.11.24	Żurrieq - Mtarfa	1:0
22.10.22	Żurrieq - Mtarfa	1:0

Mtarfa - Żurrieq: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide