Match Info

Challenge League - Round 15

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Victor Tedesco Stadium (Hamrun)


	Mtarfa		Sirens

	1	X	2
	26	14	1.04
	22	10	1.05	Watch
	23.3	15.17	1.02
	25	10.56	1.03	Watch
	26	12	1.05
	26	12	1.05
	21	9.5	1.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	24.19 ↓ (40)	11.89 ↑ (11)	1.04 ↑ (1.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mtarfa
3.8%

Draw
7.7%

Sirens
88.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

2.3%

8.3%

89.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mtarfa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Sirens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Mtarfa - Sirens Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.75 - Mtarfa (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mtarfa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:4

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
14', 0 - 1, Zammit T. ⚽,
16', 0 - 2, Nonato T. ⚽,
32', 0 - 3, Zammit T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 5)
47', 0 - 4, Zammit T. ⚽,
49', 0 - 5, Camilleri L. (Own goal),
54', 0 - 6, Nonato T. ⚽,
56', 0 - 7, Zammit T. ⚽,
80', 0 - 8, Quist E. ⚽,
86', Trawally K. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League (Promotion Group: )).

Mtarfa is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sirens is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Sirens may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sirens is the clear favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mtarfa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Sirens	2	1	1	0	2:1	1	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mtarfa FC
Maltese Challenge League
08.02.26	Mtarfa - Pietà Hotspurs	0:6 ✺
31.01.26	Swieqi United - Mtarfa	8:0 ✺
18.01.26	Mtarfa - Mġarr United	1:3 ✺
11.01.26	Żurrieq - Mtarfa	1:1 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
04.01.26	Pietà Hotspurs - Mtarfa	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LLLTL
- Sirens FC
Maltese Challenge League
07.02.26	Sirens - Żurrieq	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Fgura United - Sirens	1:5 ✺
17.01.26	Gudja United - Sirens	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Sirens - Pietà Hotspurs	4:1 ✺
21.12.25	Mġarr United - Sirens	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
02.03.25	Sirens - Mtarfa	1:1
27.10.24	Sirens - Mtarfa	3:1

Mtarfa - Sirens: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide