Match Info

Ligi Kuu Bara - Round 16

Date: 10 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Sokoine Stadium (Mbeya)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 1


	Prisons		Coastal Union

	1	X	2
	1.85	2.62	5.3
	3.72	3.12	2.03	Watch
	1.83	2.63	5
	1.89	2.7	4.94	Watch
	1.84	2.71	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (1.82)	2.76 ↑ (2.69)	4.45 ↓ (5.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Prisons
43.3%

Draw
35%

Coastal Union
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

33.7%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Prisons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Prisons's form might have worsened.

Coastal Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Coastal Union's recent form is better than expected.

Prisons - Coastal Union Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Coastal Union (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Coastal Union (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Msimu B. ⚽,
43', 0 - 2, Kichuya S. ⚽,
45+3', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', 1 - 3, Msimu B. ⚽,
58', 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Prisons won 1.

Coastal Union has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Prisons may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Prisons is considered a favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Prisons won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 0.5:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Prisons won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.9:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Coastal Union	6	2	1	3	6:9	-3	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tanzania Prisons FC
Tanzanian Premier League
06.02.26	Prisons - Mashujaa	0:0 ✺
02.02.26	Mtibwa Sugar - Prisons	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Prisons - JKT Tanzania	0:0 ✺
22.01.26	Dodoma Jiji - Prisons	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Prisons - Pamba	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TLTLT
- Coastal Union
Tanzanian Premier League
06.02.26	Pamba - Coastal Union	3:0 ✺
01.02.26	Coastal Union - TRA United	1:1 ✺
27.01.26	Coastal Union - Kinondoni MC	1:1 ✺
23.01.26	Namungo - Coastal Union	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Azam - Coastal Union	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
17.09.25	Coastal Union - Prisons	1:0
12.05.25	Prisons - Coastal Union	2:1
01.12.24	Coastal Union - Prisons	2:1
06.05.24	Coastal Union - Prisons	0:0
23.11.23	Prisons - Coastal Union	0:1
25.02.23	Coastal Union - Prisons	1:0
10.11.22	Prisons - Coastal Union	0:2

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