Match Info

1. Lig - Round 12

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Mugla Ataturk Stadyumu (Muğla) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Olcar B. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Asia	—	TOD
Turkey	16:00	beIN Connect


	Muğlaspor		İstanbulspor

	1	X	2
	1.80	3.25	3.90	Watch
	1.85	3.30	3.60
	1.82	3.38	4.04	Watch
	1.86	3.73	4.15
	1.96	3.55	3.61	Watch
	1.82	3.65	4.05
	1.89	3.40	4.08
	1.87	3.40	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (1.9)	3.46 ↓ (3.6)	3.91 ↑ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Muğlaspor
49.7%

Draw
26.7%

İstanbulspor
23.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.7%

25.7%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

21.6%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Muğlaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

İstanbulspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Muğlaspor than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Muğlaspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for İstanbulspor than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that İstanbulspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Muğlaspor - İstanbulspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Muğlaspor will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). İstanbulspor will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Kilicarslan E. (G) 22. Ceylan B. 88. Fidan Y. 15. Nahirci O. 3. Barak A. 23. Guneren A. 20. Bulut B. 11. Diarra M. 10. Avramovski D. (C) 91. Furat E. 27. Sissoko I.	1. Dogan I. (G) 20. Sahan O. 12. Sonmez K. (C) 89. Uzunhan E. 3. Ozer Y. 27. Fall M. 21. Aydin D. 15. Mendy E. 30. Cham A. 52. Duymaz O. 81. Akman A.
Substitutes
7. Camaj D. 21. Celhaka J. 30. Ekiz B. 35. Gebecelioglu B. (G) 53. Kazmaz A. 5. Matur O. 13. Osundina K. 48. Sol O. 99. Uzunoglu Y. 9. Yildirim P.	6. Dayakli I. 10. Iliev I. 37. Islamoglu U. 77. Krstovski M. 11. Nizam B. 5. Ologo Inainfe M. 4. Sahin D. 9. Sol M. 18. Tuncer D. 28. Tutar A. (G)
Coaches
Kosukavak Y.	Aliev P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
4', Aydin D. 🟨,
8', 1 - 0, Avramovski D. ⚽, Sissoko I. (A),
18', Ceylan B. 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 0, Sissoko I. (Penalty Awarded),
45+3', 3 - 0, Furat E. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Bulut B. ↓, Celhaka J. ↑,
48', 4 - 0, Diarra M. ⚽, Ceylan B. (A),
55', Duymaz O. ↓, Iliev I. ↑,
55', Akman A. ↓, Sol M. ↑,
59', 5 - 0, Furat E. ⚽, Ceylan B. (A),
62', Diarra M. ↓, Yildirim P. ↑,
63', Ceylan B. ↓, Osundina K. ↑,
64', Iliev I. 🟨,
64', Sahan O. ↓, Ologo Inainfe M. ↑,
65', Cham A. ↓, Nizam B. ↑,
72', Furat E. ↓, Sol O. ↑,
81', Guneren A. ↓, Ekiz B. ↑,
90', Mendy E. ↓, Krstovski M. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 9th and 19th in the Relegation).

In recent outings, Muğlaspor has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

İstanbulspor has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Muğlaspor holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Muğlaspor: Guler I. (Inactive) Mago L. (Red Card).

Confirmed absences for İstanbulspor: Kara A. (Red Card).

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Muglaspor	12	4	6	2	18:14	4	18
19	Istanbulspor AS	12	1	2	9	9:31	-22	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Muğlaspor
Turkish First League
19.10.26	Manisa FK - Muğlaspor	3:4 ✺
15.10.26	Muğlaspor - Bursaspor	0:3 ✺
11.10.26	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Muğlaspor	1:1 ✺
18.09.26	Muğlaspor - Igdirspor	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Sivasspor - Muğlaspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WLTTT
- İstanbulspor AŞ
Turkish First League
18.10.26	İstanbulspor - Antalyaspor	0:2 ✺
14.10.26	Batman Petrolspor - İstanbulspor	4:2 ✺
10.10.26	İstanbulspor - Erokspor	0:1 ✺
20.09.26	Manisa FK - İstanbulspor	0:1 ✺
14.09.26	Kayserispor - İstanbulspor	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLLWL

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