Match Info

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday


	Fatih Karagümrükspor		Muğlaspor

	1	X	2
	1.70	3.30	4.50
	1.85	3.25	3.75
	1.76	3.61	4.40
	1.76	3.56	4.4	Watch
	1.72	3.50	4.30
	1.72	3.48	4.24
	1.74	3.45	4.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.74)	3.45 ↓ (3.68)	4.26 ↓ (4.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fatih Karagümrükspor
52.1%

Draw
26.4%

Muğlaspor
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

25.2%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

27.9%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fatih Karagümrükspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Muğlaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fatih Karagümrükspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Muğlaspor than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Fatih Karagümrükspor - Muğlaspor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Yusuf Ziya Onis.

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 9th and 10th).

Karagümrük has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Muğlaspor shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Karagümrük carries the favorite tag into this contest.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Karagumruk	8	3	3	2	12:11	1	12
10	Muglaspor	8	2	5	1	8:7	1	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fatih Karagümrükspor
Turkish First League
19.09.26	Erokspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	0:2 ✺
13.09.26	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Manisa FK	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Batman Petrolspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	4:3 ✺
02.09.26	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Kayserispor	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	İstanbulspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WTLTT
- Muğlaspor
Turkish First League
18.09.26	Muğlaspor - Igdirspor	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Sivasspor - Muğlaspor	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Muğlaspor - Vanspor	2:2 ✺
01.09.26	Umraniyespor - Muğlaspor	0:1 ✺
28.08.26	Muğlaspor - Boluspor	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TTTWW

Fatih Karagümrükspor - Muğlaspor: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide