Match Info

1. Lig - Round 10

Date: 15 October 2026, Thursday

Location: Mugla Ataturk Stadyumu (Muğla)

Referee: Avci I. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Digiturk, Tabii, TRT Turk


	Muğlaspor		Bursaspor

	1	X	2
	5	3.7	1.57	Watch
	4.75	3.60	1.58
	5.24	3.84	1.56	Watch
	5.47	4.1	1.62
	5.3	4.02	1.58	Watch
	5.4	4.05	1.57
	5.17	3.83	1.63	Watch
	5	3.8	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.17 ↑ (3.87)	3.87 ↑ (3.38)	1.59 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Muğlaspor
17.9%

Draw
23.9%

Bursaspor
58.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

23.7%

27.2%

49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

26.6%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Muğlaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Muğlaspor's form might have worsened.

Bursaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bursaspor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muğlaspor than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Muğlaspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bursaspor than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bursaspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Muğlaspor - Bursaspor Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bursaspor (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Bursaspor will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Kilicarslan E. (C) 15. Nahirci O. 44. Mago L. 53. Kazmaz A. 28. Engin A. 21. Celhaka J. 23. Guneren A. 5. Matur O. 11. Diarra M. 99. Uzunoglu Y. 13. Osundina K.	98. Matisli K. (G) 77. Berisbek R. 4. Ersoy E. (C) 5. Basyigit E. 93. Gok B. 7. Akbunar H. 34. Akcan E. 6. Elitim J. 73. Boutrah A. 10. Lincoln 14. Iheanacho K.
Substitutes
10. Avramovski D. 3. Barak A. 20. Bulut B. 7. Camaj D. 22. Ceylan B. 91. Furat E. 35. Gebecelioglu B. (G) 27. Sissoko I. 48. Sol O. 9. Yildirim P.	52. Aydogan T. 42. Baker L. 20. Basyigit B. 27. Bayramov T. 9. Gultekin E. 39. Kivanc A. (G) 66. Maldar H. 80. Saranic I. 18. Yavru Z. 57. Yayikci B.
Coaches
Kosukavak Y.	Er M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Uzunoglu Y. 🟨,
35', Ersoy E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Uzunoglu Y. ↓, Sissoko I. ↑,
52', Celhaka J. 🟨,
58', 0 - 1, Iheanacho K. ⚽, Akbunar H. (A),
62', Osundina K. ↓, Yildirim P. ↑,
64', Akbunar H. ↓, Maldar H. ↑,
72', Celhaka J. ↓, Avramovski D. ↑,
72', Kazmaz A. ↓, Ceylan B. ↑,
72', Matur O. ↓, Camaj D. ↑,
74', Akcan E. ↓, Baker L. ↑,
74', Boutrah A. ↓, Gultekin E. ↑,
79', 0 - 2, Iheanacho K. ⚽, Elitim J. (A),
83', 0 - 3, Maldar H. ⚽, Iheanacho K. (A),
84', Berisbek R. ↓, Yavru Z. ↑,
84', Iheanacho K. ↓, Basyigit B. ↑,
90', Mago L. 🟨,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 12th and 3rd in the Promotion - 1. Lig Playoffs - Final).

Muğlaspor has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Bursaspor is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Bursaspor carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Confirmed absences for Muğlaspor: Fidan Y. (Yellow Cards) Guler I. (Inactive).

Confirmed absences for Bursaspor: Akbunar H. (Thigh Injury) Babacan A. (Yellow Cards).

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Muğlaspor has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:3.

Specifically in home fixtures for Muğlaspor against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:3 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Bursaspor	10	7	1	2	20:9	11	22
12	Muglaspor	10	2	6	2	9:11	-2	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Muğlaspor
Turkish First League
11.10.26	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Muğlaspor	1:1 ✺
18.09.26	Muğlaspor - Igdirspor	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Sivasspor - Muğlaspor	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Muğlaspor - Vanspor	2:2 ✺
01.09.26	Umraniyespor - Muğlaspor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TTTTW
- Bursaspor
Turkish First League
11.10.26	Bursaspor - Mardin 1969	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	Batman Petrolspor - Bursaspor	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Bursaspor - Erokspor	2:2 ✺
07.09.26	Manisa FK - Bursaspor	1:2 ✺
03.09.26	Bursaspor - İstanbulspor	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Cup
24.09.19	Muğlaspor - Bursaspor	1:3

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