Match Info

1. Lig - Round 9

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Bursa Büyükşehir Belediye Stadyumu (Bursa) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Tokail F. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Asia	—	TOD
Turkey	19:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Digiturk, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Bursaspor		Mardin 1969

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.6	4.75	Watch
	1.57	3.60	4.75
	1.59	3.63	5.28	Watch
	1.63	4.04	5.36
	1.58	4.08	5.2	Watch
	1.59	3.95	5.05
	1.55	3.74	5.16	Watch
	1.58	3.8	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.68)	3.81 ↑ (3.8)	5.06 ↑ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bursaspor
57.8%

Draw
24.1%

Mardin 1969
18.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.3%

24.5%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

23%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bursaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Mardin 1969 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bursaspor than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mardin 1969 than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Bursaspor - Mardin 1969 Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Bursaspor will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Matisli K. (C) 18. Yavru Z. 24. Babacan A. 5. Basyigit E. 93. Gok B. 42. Baker L. 6. Elitim J. 80. Saranic I. 9. Gultekin E. 73. Boutrah A. 14. Iheanacho K.	1. Kardesler E. (G) 27. Alici K. 25. Sengul M. 15. Gezer U. (C) 3. Yardimci N. 91. Teklic T. 16. Kabak A. 42. Alhassan B. 10. Dimitrov Z. 9. Kayode O. 8. Denic D.
Substitutes
34. Akcan E. 52. Aydogan T. 20. Basyigit B. 27. Bayramov T. 77. Berisbek R. 4. Ersoy E. 81. Geldi A. 39. Kivanc A. (G) 66. Maldar H. 57. Yayikci B.	11. Balat B. 7. Cetin S. 64. Dogan B. 29. Kahveci O. (G) 17. Korkmaz E. 33. Tasdemir E. 77. Taskan D. 19. Uluk A. 47. Wilks M. 45. Yildirim O.
Coaches
Er M.	Petev I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', Alici K. 🟨,
21', 0 - 1, Teklic T. ⚽,
25', Yavru Z. 🟨,
38', Saranic I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Baker L. ↓, Akcan E. ↑,
46', Gultekin E. ↓, Basyigit B. ↑,
46', Saranic I. ↓, Maldar H. ↑,
47', Babacan A. 🟨,
49', Gezer U. 🟨,
62', Teklic T. 🟨,
64', Alici K. ↓, Korkmaz E. ↑,
73', Sengul M. ↓, Dogan B. ↑,
73', Kayode O. ↓, Yildirim O. ↑,
80', Gok B. ↓, Ersoy E. ↑,
81', 1 - 1, Iheanacho K. ⚽,
85', Denic D. ↓, Wilks M. ↑,
85', Teklic T. ↓, Tasdemir E. ↑,
87', Er M. 🟥,
90+3', Alhassan B. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 2, Dimitrov Z. ⚽, Tasdemir E. (A),
90+5', Dimitrov Z. 🟨,
90+7', Alhassan B. 🟨,
90+7', Matisli K. 🟨,

Preview

An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Super Lig and 9th).

Bursaspor arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Mardin have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Bookmakers give the edge to Bursaspor for this game.

Confirmed absences for Mardin: Aydin A. (Knee Injury) Tasdemir E. (Thigh Injury).

Our forecast points to a victory for Bursaspor in today's match, at odds of 1.64.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Bursaspor has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:0.

Specifically in home fixtures for Bursaspor against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bursaspor	12	9	1	2	26:11	15	28
5	Mardin 1969	12	6	3	3	16:11	5	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bursaspor
Turkish First League
19.09.26	Batman Petrolspor - Bursaspor	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Bursaspor - Erokspor	2:2 ✺
07.09.26	Manisa FK - Bursaspor	1:2 ✺
03.09.26	Bursaspor - İstanbulspor	4:0 ✺
29.08.26	Kayserispor - Bursaspor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WTWWW
- Mardin 1969 SK
Turkish First League
20.09.26	Mardin 1969 - Kayserispor	0:1 ✺
13.09.26	Igdirspor - Mardin 1969	1:0 ✺
07.09.26	Mardin 1969 - Bodrumspor	1:0 ✺
02.09.26	Sivasspor - Mardin 1969	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	Mardin 1969 - Vanspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
04.04.26	Bursaspor - Mardin 1969	2:0

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