Match Info

Kakkonen Group B - Losers stage

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Porin Stadion (Pori)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	MuSa		Grankulla IFK

	1	X	2
	1.83	4.00	3.10
	2.00	3.80	2.75
	2.22	4.1	2.49
	2.24	4.23	2.43	Watch
	2.17	4	2.35
	2.34	4.47	2.5
	2.4	3.8	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.15)	4.06 ↑ (3.8)	2.56 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MuSa
42%

Draw
22.5%

Grankulla IFK
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

23.3%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

22.3%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MuSa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Grankulla IFK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MuSa than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grankulla IFK than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

MuSa - Grankulla IFK Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. MuSa will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. MuSa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - MuSa (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. MuSa (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Nordman K. (G) 22. Abdou C. 4. Bakhmutchenko Y. 14. Holappa A. 10. Jokinen R. 3. Loytokorpi E. (C) 40. Majaluoma O. 8. Simeon E. 30. Tahkanen M. 9. Tahka S. 19. Weckstrom L.	12. Vahaketo V. (G) 11. Aethe A. 19. Alomari A. 4. Andersson A. 26. Bergman J. 7. Deen T. 13. Hellsten H. (C) 20. Kouyate B. 3. Makela V. 14. Peci M. 16. Tahiri K.
Substitutes
45. Aloziem V. 21. Heinila M. 16. Rantala A. 1. Simula R. (G) 20. Toivanen J.	24. Auranen V. 1. Koski L. (G) 18. Laaksonen K. 21. Leivo J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Majaluoma O. ⚽,
12', 2 - 0, Tahka S. ⚽,
43', 3 - 0, Holappa A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
52', Tahiri K. 🟨,
66', 4 - 0, Tahka S. ⚽,
77', 5 - 0, Loytokorpi E. ⚽,
79', 5 - 1, ⚽,
83', Bakhmutchenko Y. ↓, Rantala A. ↑,
83', Simeon E. ↓, Aloziem V. ↑,
90', 5 - 2, Kouyate B. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MuSa won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, MuSa has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:16 (averaging 1.5:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for MuSa against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 6:7 goals (averaging 2:2.3 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Musan Salama
Finnish Kakkonen Group B
26.09.26	MuSa - NJS	3:2 ✺
18.09.26	Grankulla IFK - MuSa	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	MuSa - Esbo Bollklubb	1:1 ✺
04.09.26	NJS - MuSa	4:0 ✺
22.08.26	NJS - MuSa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WTTLW
- Grankulla IFK
Finnish Kakkonen Group B
26.09.26	Esbo Bollklubb - Grankulla IFK	1:1 ✺
18.09.26	Grankulla IFK - MuSa	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	NJS - Grankulla IFK	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Grankulla IFK - Esbo Bollklubb	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Grankulla IFK - Ilves 2	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group B
18.09.26	Grankulla IFK - MuSa	1:1
09.07.26	MuSa - Grankulla IFK	3:1
02.05.26	Grankulla IFK - MuSa	1:1
Finnish Cup
16.06.24	Grankulla IFK - MuSa	3:2
Finnish Kakkonen Group B
11.09.22	Grankulla IFK - MuSa	1:2
22.06.22	MuSa - Grankulla IFK	2:2
05.08.18	Grankulla IFK - MuSa	3:0

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