The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ilves 2 58.2%
Draw 20.3%
Espoon Palloseura 21.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
65.7%
18.5%
15.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
70%
17.4%
14.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ilves 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ilves 2's form might have worsened.
Espoon Palloseura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Espoon Palloseura's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilves 2 than the current prediction. (+11.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ilves 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espoon Palloseura than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Espoon Palloseura, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ilves 2 - Espoon Palloseura Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
43. Husu N. (G) 36. Aho R. 38. Halonen R. 39. Laaksonen M. 53. Lehtomaki V. 35. Multala O. 73. Rasanen A. 99. Rautavirta R. 51. Riissanen J. (C) 45. Tamminen E. 34. Valkealahti V.
30. Lehtinen L. (G) 8. Adawi O. (C) 50. Eloluoto O. 98. Huttunen O. 15. Laine S. 21. Ljunglin M. 5. Margaritidis A. 6. Marshall P. 20. Ojakangas E. 9. Pinomaa A. 70. Puhakainen L.
Substitutes
90. Ala-Nikkola N. 44. Hjelm A. 26. Kyllonen N. 97. Ljungqvist A. (G) 75. Niskanen O. 42. Paavola O. 84. Sacko Y. 72. Salo A. 37. Toivonen J.
4. Ambasciano M. 19. Gebala M. 25. Jouhi E. 1. Mazur A. 11. Reiju R. 23. Rokkonen M. 28. Ronni T. 10. Talvitie E. 17. Westerlund A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Valkealahti V. ⚽,
26', 2 - 0, Tamminen E. ⚽,
28', Pinomaa A. 🟨,
32', Riissanen J. 🟨,
36', 2 - 1, Pinomaa A. ⚽,
42', 3 - 1, Lehtomaki V. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ljunglin M. ↓, Jouhi E. ↑,
46', Multala O. ↓, Sacko Y. ↑,
61', Tamminen E. ↓, Paavola O. ↑,
61', Laaksonen M. ↓, Kyllonen N. ↑,
61', Pinomaa A. ↓, Talvitie E. ↑,
61', Puhakainen L. ↓, Ambasciano M. ↑,
62', Huttunen O. ↓, Gebala M. ↑,
62', 4 - 1, Valkealahti V. ⚽,
65', Rautavirta R. 🟨,
66', Sacko Y. 🟨,
71', Sacko Y. 🟨,
75', 4 - 2, Talvitie E. ⚽,
76', Marshall P. ↓, Ronni T. ↑,
80', Valkealahti V. ↓, Niskanen O. ↑,
80', Rautavirta R. ↓, Ala-Nikkola N. ↑,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Kakkonen Group B (Winners stage: ) and 7 in the zone Kakkonen Group B (Losers stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves 2 won 1.
Ilves 2 is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
EPS is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
EPS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Ilves 2 is the team to beat.
We predict that Ilves 2 will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Ilves 2 won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 1.6:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Ilves 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).
Finland
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Husu N. (G) 
Margaritidis A. 
Marshall P. 
Sacko Y. 
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