Match Info

Date: 24 July 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	MuSa		Gnistan

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.5	3
	2.3	3.3	2.7
	2.25	3.45	2.85
	2.24	3.3	2.95
	2.35	3.51	3.09
	2.25	3.2	3
	2.33	3.52	2.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.23)	3.4 ↓ (3.44)	2.91 ↓ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MuSa
40.7%

Draw
27.4%

Gnistan
31.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.5%

26.9%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

21.6%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MuSa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Gnistan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for MuSa than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with MuSa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gnistan than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gnistan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

MuSa - Gnistan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ykkonen (Championship Group) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ykkonen (Championship Group)).

Recent matches MuSa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gnistan is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Gnistan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches MuSa won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-6.

Including matches at home between the teams MuSa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Musan Salama
Finnish Ykkonen
21.07.21	FF Jaro - MuSa	0:0 ✺
15.07.21	MuSa - PK-35 Vantaa	1:1 ✺
10.07.21	JIPPO - MuSa	1:1 ✺
04.07.21	MuSa - Mikkelin Palloilijat	2:2 ✺
20.06.21	KPV Kokkola - MuSa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TTTTW
- IF Gnistan
Finnish Ykkonen
18.07.21	Gnistan - VPS Vaasa	2:0 ✺
05.07.21	Gnistan - TPS	0:0 ✺
30.06.21	JIPPO - Gnistan	1:4 ✺
24.06.21	KPV Kokkola - Gnistan	0:2 ✺
20.06.21	Klubi 04 - Gnistan	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
16.05.21	Gnistan - MuSa	1:1
20.09.20	Gnistan - MuSa	3:1
25.07.20	MuSa - Gnistan	5:1
Finnish Cup
14.02.20	MuSa - Gnistan	1:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IF Gnistan
Finnish Veikkausliiga
02.11.26	Inter Turku - Gnistan	✺

MuSa - Gnistan