Match Info

Date: 13 June 2021, Sunday


	MuSa		VPS Vaasa

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.25	2.7
	2.7	3.25	2.3
	2.45	3.5	2.55
	2.5	3.3	2.55
	2.58	3.64	2.69
	2.62	3.3	2.45
	2.49	3.52	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (2.79)	3.39 ↓ (3.44)	2.55 ↑ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MuSa
36.4%

Draw
27.3%

VPS Vaasa
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

26.9%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

19.2%

56%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MuSa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

VPS Vaasa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for MuSa than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with MuSa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VPS Vaasa than the current prediction. (+19.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that VPS Vaasa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

MuSa - VPS Vaasa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Ykkonen (Championship Group) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ykkonen (Championship Group)).

Recent matches MuSa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

VPS is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

MuSa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches MuSa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams MuSa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Musan Salama
Finnish Ykkonen
29.05.21	Ekenäs - MuSa	2:2 ✺
26.05.21	MuSa - Klubi 04	1:1 ✺
22.05.21	MuSa - RoPS	3:1 ✺
16.05.21	Gnistan - MuSa	1:1 ✺
12.05.21	PK-35 Vantaa - MuSa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 TTWTL
- VPS Vaasa
Finnish Ykkonen
06.06.21	JIPPO - VPS Vaasa	1:1 ✺
29.05.21	VPS Vaasa - Mikkelin Palloilijat	3:0 ✺
23.05.21	FF Jaro - VPS Vaasa	1:1 ✺
17.05.21	VPS Vaasa - KPV Kokkola	2:2 ✺
12.05.21	VPS Vaasa - Gnistan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
20.10.20	MuSa - VPS Vaasa	0:2
15.07.20	VPS Vaasa - MuSa	1:1
Finnish Cup
19.02.17	VPS Vaasa - MuSa	0:1

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