The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
VPS Vaasa 39.6%
Draw 27.2%
Gnistan 33.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.5%
25.7%
26.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.8%
25.3%
27.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
VPS Vaasa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that VPS Vaasa's form might have worsened.
Gnistan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gnistan's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for VPS Vaasa than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for VPS Vaasa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gnistan than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gnistan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
33.3%
0%
VPS Vaasa - Gnistan Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. VPS will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6th and 4th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, VPS won 0.
VPS is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Gnistan have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Recently, Gnistan has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, VPS has recorded 5 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:18 (averaging 1.5:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for VPS against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 9:9 goals (averaging 1.5:1.5 per game).
Standings
Championship Group
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Gnistan
26
11
9
6
40:32
8
42
6
VPS
26
10
6
10
30:31
-1
36
Last Results with these Odds
Gnistan - the odds 3.41 are the expected chance of winning is 26.77%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
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