Match Info

Veikkausliiga - Championship Group - Round 30

Date: 28 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: OTC Stadion (Oulu) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Finland	18:00	Ruutu+
International	16:00	OneFootball TV


	Oulu		VPS Vaasa

	1	X	2
	2.50	3.30	2.50	Watch
	2.50	3.40	2.60
	2.32	3.25	2.75	Watch
	2.66	3.66	2.62
	2.53	3.59	2.63	Watch
	2.60	3.60	2.55
	2.58	3.41	2.58	Watch
	2.47	3.40	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.48)	3.45 ↑ (3.13)	2.6 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Oulu
37%

Draw
27%

VPS Vaasa
35.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.6%

29%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

28.2%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oulu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

VPS Vaasa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oulu than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VPS Vaasa than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Oulu - VPS Vaasa Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Oulu will win (votes: 3 - 75%). VPS will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
62. Backman T. (G) 16. Kemppainen O. 3. Lietsa A. 66. Pirinen J. 22. Kaukua T. 25. Arsalo M. 10. Triana C. 21. Mendolin I. 36. Lotvonen J. 7. Karjalainen R. (C) 27. Kallio E.	41. Jalloh M. (G) 23. Niemi M. (C) 6. Okereke E. 2. Mane L. 30. Vahtera J. 13. Ogunniyi O. 14. Lindholm S. 8. Lima P. 7. Turfkruier J. 20. Odhiambo X. 9. Holmelund C.
Substitutes
18. Cassama A. 14. Jokelainen N. 40. Korhonen J. 30. Makelainen J. 8. Ojala M. 12. Pentti J. (G) 9. Riski Ro. 29. Silander S. 2. Sipola S.	18. Arrakoski A. 27. Kouassivi-Benissan K. 11. Muzinga J. 1. Piispa A. (G) 25. Salomaa H. 29. Samake W. 3. Simpson R. 17. Terrnava D. 12. Vayrynen L. (G)
Coaches
Isokangas M.	Nuorela J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Lotvonen J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lotvonen J. ↓, Makelainen J. ↑,
61', Triana C. ↓, Riski Ro. ↑,
69', Vahtera J. ↓, Kouassivi-Benissan K. ↑,
69', Holmelund C. ↓, Salomaa H. ↑,
78', Kallio E. ↓, Jokelainen N. ↑,
85', Lindholm S. ↓, Terrnava D. ↑,
88', Triana C. 🟨,

Preview

Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 4th and 6th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oulu won 3.

Oulu has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

VPS is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for Oulu: Ghezali L. (Yellow Cards) Paananen J. (Inactive) Pitkanen M. (Yellow Cards) Santos M. (Red Card) Tiihonen O. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for VPS: Haukioja M. (Inactive) Raisanen A. (Yellow Cards) Ronnberg V. (Inactive).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Oulu has recorded 6 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:37 (averaging 1.4:1.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Oulu against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 13:15 goals (averaging 1.3:1.5 per game).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	AC Oulu	30	13	5	12	36:37	-1	44
6	VPS	30	11	7	12	31:34	-3	40

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Oulu
Finnish Veikkausliiga
24.10.26	Gnistan - Oulu	3:4 ✺
17.10.26	Inter Turku - Oulu	1:2 ✺
12.10.26	Oulu - HJK	3:4 ✺
08.10.26	KuPS Kuopio - Oulu	0:1 ✺
18.09.26	Oulu - Inter Turku	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.9 WWLWL
- VPS Vaasa
Finnish Veikkausliiga
24.10.26	VPS Vaasa - Inter Turku	0:1 ✺
18.10.26	KuPS Kuopio - VPS Vaasa	2:0 ✺
12.10.26	VPS Vaasa - Gnistan	1:0 ✺
08.10.26	HJK - VPS Vaasa	6:0 ✺
19.09.26	VPS Vaasa - KuPS Kuopio	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
08.09.26	VPS Vaasa - Oulu	1:0
23.06.26	VPS Vaasa - Oulu	5:1
18.04.26	Oulu - VPS Vaasa	1:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
24.01.26	VPS Vaasa - Oulu	1:4
Finnish Veikkausliiga
04.10.25	Oulu - VPS Vaasa	2:0
28.06.25	Oulu - VPS Vaasa	2:1
05.04.25	VPS Vaasa - Oulu	4:3

Upcoming Matches