Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League 2 - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 February 2025, Thursday

Location: Thunderdome Stadium (Nonthaburi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, TOD
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
Hong-kong	HOY TV
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	RCTI+
Iraq	Al Rabiaa Sport
Kyrgyzstan	KTRK Sports
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Sooka
Netherlands	Canal+
Singapore	meWATCH
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	AIS PLAY, PPTV Sports
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Ukraine	Sport 2, Sport 3
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Disney+, Onefootball


	Muangthong United		Lion City Sailors

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.75	3.75	4.2
	1.75	3.83	4.07
	1.76	3.88	4.19	Watch
	1.7	4.05	4.35	Watch
	1.75	3.75	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.55)	3.85 ↓ (4)	4.2 ↓ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Muangthong United
53.6%

Draw
24.2%

Lion City Sailors
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

22.5%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

21.7%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Muangthong United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Lion City Sailors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muangthong United than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Muangthong United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lion City Sailors than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	16.7%	33.3%

Muangthong United - Lion City Sailors Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Muangthong United will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Lion City will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Phuthawchueak K. (G) 19. Do T. 5. Otakhonov A. 4. Hong Jung-Woon 20. Strauss J. 37. Autra P. (C) 21. Thodsanit P. 9. Lorenzen M. 34. Khamyok K. 10. Arjvirai P. 22. Cissokho A.	1. Mahbud I. (G) 22. van Huizen C. 14. Harun H. (C) 26. Wright B. 4. Datkovic T. 29. Costa D. 7. Anuar S. 15. Song Ui-Young 8. Pires R. 10. Ramselaar B. 17. Lestienne M.
Substitutes
31. Kadee K. (G) 29. Kraikruan S. 23. Phosri S. 11. Roback E. 30. Ruennin P. (G) 3. Saengdao C. 39. Sattham J. 18. Tasa K. 36. Thodsanid P. 40. Wettayawong K. 6. Yoryoei T.	68. Al Rina A. 13. Azahari A. (G) 30. Azman A. 20. Carmona S. 18. Kljajic O. 6. Kumar A. 3. Mamadou B. 11. Nor H. 21. Rasaq A. 28. Rohaizad Z. (G) 5. Tan L. 9. Thy L.
Coaches
Lettieri G.	Rankovic A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
1', 0 - 1, Anuar S. ⚽, Lestienne M. (A),
11', 0 - 2, Lestienne M. (Pen),
18', Thodsanit P. ↓, Tasa K. ↑,
27', 0 - 3, Ramselaar B. ⚽, Lestienne M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Autra P. ↓, Phosri S. ↑,
52', Song Ui-Young 🟥,
57', 1 - 3, Lorenzen M. ⚽, Otakhonov A. (A),
58', Anuar S. ↓, Kumar A. ↑,
63', Lorenzen M. 🟨,
71', Lestienne M. ↓, Thy L. ↑,
77', Mahbud I. ↓, Rohaizad Z. ↑,
77', Ramselaar B. ↓, Al Rina A. ↑,
78', van Huizen C. ↓, Tan L. ↑,
84', Khamyok K. ↓, Wettayawong K. ↑,
84', Hong Jung-Woon ↓, Yoryoei T. ↑,
90+2', Costa D. 🟨,
90+5', Rohaizad Z. 🟨,
90+11', 2 - 3, Do T. ⚽, Arjvirai P. (A),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches South Dakota won 1.

South Dakota is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

UMKC is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

South Dakota could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently South Dakota have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Our prediction for today's South Dakota to win the game is with odds 1.77.

Last 18 head-to-head matches South Dakota won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 1097:1128 (average 60.9:62.7).

Including matches at home between the teams South Dakota won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 515:492 (average 57.2:54.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Muangthong United
Thai League 1
08.02.25	Muangthong United - Chiangrai United	2:1 ✺
02.02.25	Sukhothai - Muangthong United	1:3 ✺
Thai FA Cup
29.01.25	Nakhon Pathom United - Muangthong United	0:4 ✺
Thai League 1
25.01.25	Muangthong United - Nongbua Pitchaya	2:1 ✺
19.01.25	Ratchaburi - Muangthong United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWWL
- Lion City Sailors
Singapore Premier League
09.02.25	Lion City Sailors - Tanjong Pagar United	4:1 ✺
ASEAN Club Championship
06.02.25	Kaya - Lion City Sailors	2:0 ✺
Singapore Premier League
26.01.25	Geylang - Lion City Sailors	1:2 ✺
ASEAN Club Championship
23.01.25	Lion City Sailors - Buriram United	0:0 ✺
Singapore Premier League
17.01.25	Lion City Sailors - Jurong	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLWTW

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