The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sukhothai 30.8%
Draw 27.6%
Muangthong United 41.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39%
26.9%
34.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41%
28.3%
32.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sukhothai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sukhothai's form might have worsened.
Muangthong United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Muangthong United's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sukhothai than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sukhothai, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Muangthong United than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Muangthong United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
0%
66.7%
Sukhothai - Muangthong United Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Sukhothai will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Muangthong United will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Muangthong United (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Saensuk K. (G) 27. Thumporn T. 15. Promsupa S. 22. Kanlayanabandit S. 25. Otton C. 5. Romeu 17. Mhuaddarak T. (C) 95. Barreto 10. Baggio J. 11. Gildo 35. Chatthong S.
33. Pipatnadda K. (G) 4. Tsonkov S. 28. Kim Dong-Su 27. Kempter M. 19. Do T. (C) 34. Khamyok K. 14. Panthong S. 6. Strauss J. 8. Tasa K. 45. Saric M. 7. Willian Popp
Substitutes
8. Aranpiroj R. 93. Claudio 21. Denman A. 18. Hnupichai S. (G) 24. Jansuwan P. 39. Jantrapho A. 2. Logarwit S. 70. Mateusinho 9. Paredes J. 19. Phatthaphon P. 3. Suksakit P. 7. Thiamrat L.
24. Ahannach A. 16. Chaikultewin W. 18. Danuphon B. 13. Falconer J. P. 1. Gremsl A. (G) 38. Kalaya R. (G) 29. Kraikruan S. 9. Lorenzen M. 22. Nuntagowat T. 23. Phosri S. 3. Sawatlakhorn W. 17. Thodsanid P.
Coaches
Thong-Am E.
Borges J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Otton C. 🟨,
14', Panthong S. 🟨,
33', Saric M. 🟨,
33', Willian Popp 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Romeu ⚽,
45+3', Mhuaddarak T. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Panthong S. ↓, Lorenzen M. ↑,
52', Otton C. ↓, Phatthaphon P. ↑,
57', 2 - 0, Baggio J. ⚽, Promsupa S. (A),
62', Tasa K. ↓, Phosri S. ↑,
66', 3 - 0, Romeu ⚽,
71', Kim Dong-Su ↓, Ahannach A. ↑,
73', Gildo ↓, Logarwit S. ↑,
74', Chatthong S. 🟨,
81', Chatthong S. ↓, Paredes J. ↑,
90', Saric M. ↓, Thodsanid P. ↑,
90+6', Saensuk K. 🟨,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sukhothai won 0.
Sukhothai is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Muangthong United's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Sukhothai may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Sukhothai has had a series of away games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Sukhothai won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 15 matches, and goals 22:46. (average 1.2:2.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Sukhothai won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:22. (average 1.6:2.2).
Thailand
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Saensuk K. (G) 
Romeu 
Baggio J. 
Tsonkov S. 
Kim Dong-Su 
Kempter M. 
Saric M. 
Paredes J. 
Ahannach A. 
Gremsl A. (G) 
Lorenzen M. 
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