Match Info

Premier League

Date: 9 January 2026, Friday


	Muhanga		Gicumbi

	1	X	2
	2.72	2.78	2.58
	2.83	2.78	2.68	Watch
	2.7	2.75	2.5
	2.78	2.99	2.58	Watch
	2.75	2.75	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.66)	2.81 ↓ (3)	2.59 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Muhanga
32.9%

Draw
32.2%

Gicumbi
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

30%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

30.6%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Muhanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Gicumbi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muhanga than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gicumbi than the current prediction. (+2%)

Muhanga - Gicumbi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
2nd Half (1 - 1)

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Muhanga is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Gicumbi's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Gicumbi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Muhanga won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Muhanga won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Gicumbi	3	3	0	0	5:2	3	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Muhanga
Rwanda Premier League
04.01.26	Rayon Sports - Muhanga	2:0 ✺
29.12.25	Muhanga - Al-Merreikh	0:0 ✺
26.12.25	Muhanga - APR	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Musanze - Muhanga	3:0 ✺
13.12.25	Muhanga - Kigali	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LTLLT
- Gicumbi FC
Rwanda Premier League
05.01.26	Gicumbi - Kiyovu Sports	1:4 ✺
02.01.26	Gicumbi - Al-Hilal Club of Omdurman	1:3 ✺
26.12.25	Rutsiro - Gicumbi	2:4 ✺
21.12.25	Al-Merreikh - Gicumbi	1:0 ✺
18.12.25	Gicumbi - Marines	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Rwanda Premier League
11.01.20	Muhanga - Gicumbi	0:1
09.10.19	Gicumbi - Muhanga	0:1
24.05.19	Gicumbi - Muhanga	3:2
12.01.19	Muhanga - Gicumbi	3:0
11.06.16	Muhanga - Gicumbi	2:1

Muhanga - Gicumbi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide