Match Info

Premier League

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday


	Muhanga		Kigali

	1	X	2
	3.35	2.72	2.25
	3.57	2.7	2.2
	3.58	2.74	2.26	Watch
	3.5	2.63	2.2
	3.55	2.66	2.25
	3.5	2.71	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (2.9)	2.69 ↓ (2.9)	2.23 ↓ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Muhanga
25.8%

Draw
33.6%

Kigali
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Muhanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Muhanga's form might have worsened.

Kigali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muhanga than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kigali than the current prediction. (-2%)

Muhanga - Kigali Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Kigali may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Muhanga won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Muhanga won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Muhanga
Rwanda Premier League
06.12.25	Muhanga - Amagaju	0:1 ✺
29.11.25	Rutsiro - Muhanga	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Mukura Victory Sports - Muhanga	1:2 ✺
08.11.25	Muhanga - Marines	0:2 ✺
30.10.25	Gasogi United - Muhanga	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 LWWLL
- AS Kigali
Rwanda Premier League
07.12.25	Al-Merreikh - Kigali	2:1 ✺
28.11.25	Kigali - APR	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Rayon Sports - Kigali	0:2 ✺
07.11.25	Kigali - Police	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Kigali - Kiyovu Sports	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Rwanda Premier League
03.03.20	Kigali - Muhanga	1:0
30.10.19	Muhanga - Kigali	0:0
10.05.19	Kigali - Muhanga	2:1
29.12.18	Muhanga - Kigali	0:0
16.10.15	Muhanga - Kigali	0:2

Muhanga - Kigali: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide