Match Info

Premier League

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday


	Muhanga		Rayon Sports

	1	X	2
	2.58	3.25	2.4
	2.37	3.93	2.23
	1.92	3.51	3.62	Watch
	2.45	3.5	2.3
	2.47	3.62	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.47)	3.56 ↓ (3.58)	2.57 ↑ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Muhanga
38.8%

Draw
25.7%

Rayon Sports
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

25%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

25.3%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Muhanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Rayon Sports has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Muhanga than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayon Sports than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Muhanga - Rayon Sports Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 4).

Muhanga is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rayon Sports has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Muhanga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Muhanga won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Muhanga won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Rayon Sport	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Muhanga
Rwanda Premier League
03.05.26	Muhanga - Bugesera	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	Muhanga - Gorilla	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Gicumbi - Muhanga	2:0 ✺
05.04.26	APR - Muhanga	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Muhanga - Musanze	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLLL
- Rayon Sports FC
Rwanda Premier League
02.05.26	Rayon Sports - APR	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Amagaju - Rayon Sports	0:2 ✺
Rwanda Peace Cup
22.04.26	Gorilla - Rayon Sports	1:1 ✺
Rwanda Premier League
19.04.26	Rutsiro - Rayon Sports	0:0 ✺
04.04.26	Rayon Sports - Gicumbi	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Rwanda Premier League
04.01.26	Rayon Sports - Muhanga	2:0
28.11.19	Rayon Sports - Muhanga	2:1
28.04.19	Muhanga - Rayon Sports	1:3
15.12.18	Rayon Sports - Muhanga	1:0
07.07.16	Muhanga - Rayon Sports	1:0

Muhanga - Rayon Sports: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide