Match Info
Premier LeagueDate: 3 May 2026, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
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Muhanga |
|
Bugesera |
|
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.58 |
2.92 |
2.68 |
|
 |
2.52 |
2.88 |
2.63 |
|
 |
2.64 |
2.91 |
2.74 |
 Watch |
 |
2.5 |
2.8 |
2.7 |
|
 |
2.55 |
2.9 |
2.66 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.56 ↑
(2.55) |
2.88 ↓
(2.9) |
2.68 ↑
(2.66) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Muhanga
35.2% | Draw
31.2% | Bugesera
33.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Muhanga have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Bugesera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Muhanga than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bugesera than the current prediction. (+1.3%)Muhanga - Bugesera Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 8).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Muhanga won 2.Muhanga is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).Bugesera has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).Bugesera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win. We predict that Bugesera will win today's game, with odds of 2.67.In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Muhanga won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1:1.5).Including home matches between the teams, Muhanga won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 17 | Bugesera | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Rwanda Premier League | | | 25.10.25 | Bugesera - Muhanga | 0:1 | | 17.05.21 | Muhanga - Bugesera | 0:2 | | 07.03.20 | Muhanga - Bugesera | 1:0 | | 02.11.19 | Bugesera - Muhanga | 5:4 | | 01.05.19 | Bugesera - Muhanga | 2:0 | | 20.12.18 | Muhanga - Bugesera | 1:1 | | 15.06.16 | Bugesera - Muhanga | 2:1 |
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