Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 16Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday
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Muleño |
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UCAM Murcia B |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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3.3 |
2.88 |
2.18 |
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1.78 |
3.34 |
4.51 |
 Watch |
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3.4 |
2.8 |
2.15 |
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3.27 |
2.99 |
2.17 |
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3.33 |
3 |
2.14 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.02 ↓
(3.13) |
3 ↓
(3.09) |
2.63 ↑
(2.18) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Muleño
31.7% | Draw
31.9% | UCAM Murcia B
36.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Muleño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)UCAM Murcia B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and UCAM Murcia B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Muleño than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for UCAM Murcia B than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UCAM Murcia B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Muleño - UCAM Murcia B Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 12', 1 - 0, Forcada I. ⚽,
- 18', 2 - 0, Luna J. P. ⚽,
- 44', 2 - 1, Martinez G. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 74', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 7).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Muleño won 1.Recent performances by Muleño have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).UCAM Murcia B is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).UCAM Murcia B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. UCAM Murcia B will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Muleño won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:11. (average 1.6:1.1).Including home matches between the teams, Muleño won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.8:1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 10 | UCAM Murcia B | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 5 |
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Last Results with these Odds
UCAM Murcia B - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 41.59%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13 | | | 23.03.25 | Muleño - UCAM Murcia B | 1:1 | | 10.11.24 | UCAM Murcia B - Muleño | 2:2 | | 17.03.24 | Muleño - UCAM Murcia B | 2:1 | | 29.10.23 | UCAM Murcia B - Muleño | 1:0 | | 15.01.23 | Muleño - UCAM Murcia B | 2:2 | | 12.01.20 | Muleño - UCAM Murcia B | 2:1 | | 23.03.19 | Muleño - UCAM Murcia B | 1:0 |
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