Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 15

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday


	Muleño		Bala Azul

	1	X	2
	3.05	2.88	2.28
	1.47	3.86	7.13	Watch
	3.1	2.7	2.4
	3.05	2.92	2.32
	3.14	2.83	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↓ (3.25)	3.04 ↓ (3.15)	3.29 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Muleño
36.4%

Draw
33.1%

Bala Azul
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

28.9%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

28.1%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Muleño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Muleño's performance.

Bala Azul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bala Azul might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Muleño than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Muleño that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bala Azul than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bala Azul could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Muleño - Bala Azul Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Lopez L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 2 - 0, ⚽,
59', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Muleño may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bala Azul could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Muleño won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Including home match between the teams, Muleño won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Muleño CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
16.12.25	Mazarrón - Muleño	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Muleño - Olímpico de Totana	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	El Palmar - Muleño	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	Muleño - Cartagena B	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	Deportivo Marítimo - Muleño	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 LWLLW
- CD Bala Azul
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
13.12.25	Olímpico de Totana - Bala Azul	2:0 ✺
06.12.25	Bala Azul - Cartagena B	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Real Murcia B - Bala Azul	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Bala Azul - Yeclano B	4:1 ✺
09.11.25	Minerva - Bala Azul	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
09.02.25	Muleño - Bala Azul	1:4

Muleño - Bala Azul: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide