Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 12

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday


	Real Murcia B		Bala Azul

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.1	4.25
	1.94	3.23	3.92	Watch
	1.79	3.14	4.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.9)	3.16 ↑ (3)	4.21 ↑ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Murcia B
49.5%

Draw
28.8%

Bala Azul
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

30%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

28.7%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Murcia B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Bala Azul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Real Murcia B aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bala Azul than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Real Murcia B - Bala Azul Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 0 - 1, Kabore S. ⚽,
71', 1 - 1, Llobell R. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: ) and 10).

Murcia B is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bala Azul has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Murcia B could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Murcia B won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:7. (average 2.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Murcia B won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 3.7:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Murcia B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
16.11.25	Olímpico de Totana - Real Murcia B	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Real Murcia B - Cartagena B	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Muleño - Real Murcia B	2:4 ✺
26.10.25	Yeclano B - Real Murcia B	1:2 ✺
19.10.25	Real Murcia B - Minerva	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWWWT
- CD Bala Azul
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
16.11.25	Bala Azul - Yeclano B	4:1 ✺
09.11.25	Minerva - Bala Azul	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Bala Azul - Pulpileño	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Águilas B - Bala Azul	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Bala Azul - UCAM Murcia B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
13.04.25	Real Murcia B - Bala Azul	1:1
01.12.24	Bala Azul - Real Murcia B	1:0
30.01.22	Real Murcia B - Bala Azul	5:2
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
06.05.18	Real Murcia B - Bala Azul	5:2
08.12.17	Bala Azul - Real Murcia B	1:3

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