Match Info

COSTA RICA: PRIMERA DIVISION - CLAUSURA - ROUND 14

Date: 27 March 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Allen Riggioni Suárez (Grecia)

Referee: Prendas R. (Cos)


	Municipal Grecia		Puntarenas FC

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.88	2.8
	2.55	2.95	2.55
	2.7	3.1	2.6	Watch
	2.82	2.99	2.81
	2.82	2.95	2.81
	2.62	3	2.6
	2.79	2.88	2.71	Watch
	2.65	2.95	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.7)	2.96 ↓ (3.13)	2.69 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Municipal Grecia
34.1%

Draw
31.3%

Puntarenas FC
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

30.1%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

29.5%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Municipal Grecia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Puntarenas FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

The ML Model estimate for Municipal Grecia aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puntarenas FC than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	33.3%	11.1%

Municipal Grecia - Puntarenas FC Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Grecia will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Puntarenas will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grecia: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
51. Sanchez L. (G) 4. Noya R. (C) 3. Martinez P. 32. Castro S. 5. Gutierrez K. 22. Aguero J. 77. Roman S. 70. Rivera Stuart J. 11. Villegas C. 29. Ramirez E. 99. Alvarado J.	13. Aju M. (G) 11. Sequeira B. 4. Sanchez J. 6. Medina J. (C) 15. Villalobos K. 60. Leiva J. 26. Mora A. 8. Parkins R. 7. Ramirez K. 28. Cordero Gonzalez J. 21. Rodriguez D.
Substitutes
7. Clunie G. 10. Cole K. 12. Meneses Salazar M. J. 9. Rodriguez L. 23. Vega J. (G) 27. Villalobos A. 19. Wright S.	27. Bernard K. 10. Cole R. 58. Franco L. 9. Frias A. 12. Gibbons A. 2. Gutierrez M. 1. Torres Brenes L. (G)
Coaches
Roman J.	Sequeira D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', Rodriguez D. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Rodriguez D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Roman S. ↓, Villalobos A. ↑,
58', Leiva J. ↓, Gibbons A. ↑,
62', Ramirez E. ↓, Cole K. ↑,
67', Parkins R. ↓, Franco L. ↑,
67', Cordero Gonzalez J. ↓, Bernard K. ↑,
70', Sequeira B. 🟨,
71', Gutierrez K. ↓, Clunie G. ↑,
72', Clunie G. 🟨,
80', Rodriguez D. ↓, Frias A. ↑,
87', Aguero J. ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 11 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Grecia won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Grecia won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Grecia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Municipal Grecia
Costa Rican Primera Division
09.03.24	San Carlos - Municipal Grecia	2:0 ✺
02.03.24	Municipal Grecia - Municipal Liberia	1:2 ✺
28.02.24	Sporting San José - Municipal Grecia	4:1 ✺
25.02.24	Santos de Guápiles - Municipal Grecia	0:2 ✺
17.02.24	Municipal Grecia - Pérez Zeledón	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LLLWW
- Puntarenas FC
Costa Rican Primera Division
09.03.24	Cartagines - Puntarenas FC	0:0 ✺
02.03.24	Puntarenas FC - Herediano	0:0 ✺
24.02.24	San Carlos - Puntarenas FC	1:1 ✺
20.02.24	Sporting San José - Puntarenas FC	1:0 ✺
17.02.24	Puntarenas FC - Santos de Guápiles	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Primera Division
20.01.24	Puntarenas FC - Municipal Grecia	0:0
25.11.23	Puntarenas FC - Municipal Grecia	1:2
21.09.23	Municipal Grecia - Puntarenas FC	1:1
15.04.23	Puntarenas FC - Municipal Grecia	3:0
12.02.23	Municipal Grecia - Puntarenas FC	4:0
27.08.22	Municipal Grecia - Puntarenas FC	1:0
11.08.22	Puntarenas FC - Municipal Grecia	3:1

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