Match Info

COSTA RICA: PRIMERA DIVISION - CLAUSURA - ROUND 11

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Carlos Ugalde Álvarez (Ciudad Quesada)

Referee: Pineda B. (Cos)


	San Carlos		Municipal Grecia

	1	X	2
	1.2	6	15
	1.2	5.75	10.5
	1.2	6	12	Watch
	1.26	5.74	11.79
	1.26	5.74	11.79
	1.2	5.5	12
	1.23	5.6	11.5	Watch
	1.19	5.6	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.34)	5.74 ↑ (4.76)	12.07 ↑ (8.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Carlos
76.2%

Draw
16.2%

Municipal Grecia
7.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.8%

19.7%

10.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.9%

19.1%

10.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Carlos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Carlos's performance.

Municipal Grecia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Carlos than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Municipal Grecia than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

San Carlos - Municipal Grecia Predictions

Users Predictions: San Carlos will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Carvajal D. (G) 2. Rivera R. 5. Roman Y. 16. Acuna S. 18. Peraza J. 22. Cabral A. 7. Yanis C. 11. Cordoba R. 20. Azofeifa W. 14. Mena M. (C) 19. McDonald J.	51. Sanchez L. (G) 4. Noya R. (C) 5. Gutierrez K. 24. Rodriguez R. 22. Aguero J. 32. Castro S. 10. Cole K. 70. Rivera Stuart J. 29. Ramirez E. 99. Alvarado J. 27. Villalobos A.
Substitutes
29. Arroyo F. 30. Diaz D. 10. Leiva G. 99. Martinez B. 77. Murcia B. 12. Sanchez D. 23. Vega J. (G)	30. Albin J. 3. Martinez P. 12. Meneses Salazar M. J. 9. Rodriguez L. 77. Roman S. 23. Vega J. (G) 11. Villegas C.
Coaches
Marin L.	Manrique I. J.

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches San Carlos won 2.

San Carlos is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Grecia is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match San Carlos is absolute favorite.

Last 21 head-to-head matches San Carlos won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 32-29.

Including matches at home between the teams San Carlos won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 20-16.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD San Carlos
Costa Rican Primera Division
03.03.24	Deportivo Saprissa - San Carlos	2:2 ✺
27.02.24	San Carlos - Santos de Guápiles	4:0 ✺
24.02.24	San Carlos - Puntarenas FC	1:1 ✺
21.02.24	San Carlos - Cartagines	2:0 ✺
16.02.24	Sporting San José - San Carlos	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TWTWW
- Municipal Grecia
Costa Rican Primera Division
02.03.24	Municipal Grecia - Municipal Liberia	1:2 ✺
28.02.24	Sporting San José - Municipal Grecia	4:1 ✺
25.02.24	Santos de Guápiles - Municipal Grecia	0:2 ✺
17.02.24	Municipal Grecia - Pérez Zeledón	2:1 ✺
11.02.24	Municipal Grecia - Alajuelense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Primera Division
25.09.23	Municipal Grecia - San Carlos	1:0
27.07.23	San Carlos - Municipal Grecia	3:0
30.03.23	San Carlos - Municipal Grecia	3:0
29.01.23	Municipal Grecia - San Carlos	0:0
20.08.22	San Carlos - Municipal Grecia	1:2
07.08.22	Municipal Grecia - San Carlos	0:1
30.04.22	San Carlos - Municipal Grecia	2:2

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